Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up
Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET
Resolved Up. 67% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
12
Up 67%
1 arb excluded
$1.4K
$21.41
Smart Money Signal
8 of 12 top traders (67%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed4 hold an outcome priced under 50%10 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
HO hoodquant | Upavg 99¢ | $578.15 | $583.99 | +$5.84 | 93% 22411-1723 (24134) |
PL ply-pm2 | Upavg 78.9¢ | $418.64 | $411.38 | -$7.25 | 51% 6607-6303 (12910) |
UN uninformedflowwARB<$100 | Upavg 85.7¢ | $164.8 | $155.08 | -$9.72 | 57% 69318-52757 (122075) |
| └ Up leg | Upavg 85.7¢ | $132.85 | $155.08 | +$22.23 | |
| └ Down leg | Downavg 13.6¢ | $31.95 | — | -$31.95 | |
 UpandDownSyndrome<$100 | Upavg 78.8¢ | $61.22 | $77.26 | +$16.04 | 63% 50900-30030 (80930) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Upavg 80.7¢ | $45.89 | $56.85 | +$10.96 | 65% 21119-11585 (32704) |
 MayorMamdani<$100 | Upavg 62.9¢ | $29.57 | $35.99 | +$6.42 | 55% 43879-36307 (80186) |
AS asidjasiodja<$100 | Upavg 87.4¢ | $19.28 | $21.21 | +$1.93 | 61% 93625-58870 (152495) |
DE devonpoll<$100 | Upavg 91¢ | $9.2 | $10.11 | +$0.91 | 51% 19702-18871 (38573) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Upavg 75.5¢ | $8.65 | $11.46 | +$2.81 | 66% 124228-63947 (188175) |
 OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100 | Downavg 10.2¢ | $8.01 | — | -$8.01 | 49% 77370-80568 (157938) |
DV dvasdkasodkCTR<$100 | Downavg 18¢ | $1.05 | — | -$1.05 | 52% 89117-83588 (172705) |
 pspspsps5CTR<$100 | Downavg 11.8¢ | $7.14 | — | -$7.14 | 46% 37786-44290 (82076) |
AN antsaslykuCTR<$100 | Downavg 1¢ | $0.05 | — | -$0.05 | 66% 111385-57646 (169031) |
Invested
$578.15
Value
$583.99
PnL
+$5.84
Record
93%
22411-1723 (24134)
Invested
$418.64
Value
$411.38
PnL
-$7.25
Record
51%
6607-6303 (12910)
Invested
$164.8
Value
$155.08
PnL
-$9.72
Record
57%
69318-52757 (122075)
Both legs:
UpandDownSyndrome<$100Invested
$61.22
Value
$77.26
PnL
+$16.04
Record
63%
50900-30030 (80930)
Invested
$45.89
Value
$56.85
PnL
+$10.96
Record
65%
21119-11585 (32704)
MayorMamdani<$100Invested
$29.57
Value
$35.99
PnL
+$6.42
Record
55%
43879-36307 (80186)
Invested
$19.28
Value
$21.21
PnL
+$1.93
Record
61%
93625-58870 (152495)
Invested
$9.2
Value
$10.11
PnL
+$0.91
Record
51%
19702-18871 (38573)
Invested
$8.65
Value
$11.46
PnL
+$2.81
Record
66%
124228-63947 (188175)
OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100Invested
$8.01
Value
—
PnL
-$8.01
Record
49%
77370-80568 (157938)
Invested
$1.05
Value
—
PnL
-$1.05
Record
52%
89117-83588 (172705)
pspspsps5CTR<$100Invested
$7.14
Value
—
PnL
-$7.14
Record
46%
37786-44290 (82076)
Invested
$0.05
Value
—
PnL
-$0.05
Record
66%
111385-57646 (169031)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
hoodquant
Up — $583.99
ply-pm2
Up — $411.38
uninformedfloww
ARBArbitrage — excluded
UpandDownSyndrome
Up — $77.26
aaa221
Up — $56.85
MayorMamdani
Up — $35.99
asidjasiodja
Up — $21.21
devonpoll
Up — $10.11
asdaefef
Up — $11.46
OhioRiskManagement
CTRDown — $0