Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down
Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET
Resolved Down. 70% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
10
Down 70%
$164.06
$12.59
Smart Money Signal
7 of 10 top traders (70%)3 hold an outcome priced under 50%10 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
UN uninformedfloww<$100 | Downavg 82.1¢ | $78.43 | $95.58 | +$17.15 | 57% 69318-52757 (122075) |
PL ply-pm2<$100 | Downavg 89¢ | $20.92 | $23.5 | +$2.58 | 51% 6607-6303 (12910) |
 pspspsps5CTR<$100 | Upavg 2.8¢ | $4.33 | — | -$4.33 | 46% 37786-44290 (82076) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Downavg 65.8¢ | $13.08 | $13.49 | +$0.41 | 66% 124228-63947 (188175) |
 OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100 | Upavg 12.4¢ | $10.37 | — | -$10.37 | 49% 77370-80568 (157938) |
 UpandDownSyndrome<$100 | Downavg 98.6¢ | $8.21 | $8.33 | +$0.12 | 63% 50900-30030 (80930) |
AS asidjasiodja<$100 | Downavg 97¢ | $6.79 | $7 | +$0.21 | 61% 93625-58870 (152495) |
BO Bonereaper<$100 | Downavg 52¢ | $5.33 | $10.25 | +$4.92 | 66% 98433-50894 (149327) |
 MayorMamdaniCTR<$100 | Upavg 2¢ | $0.52 | — | -$0.52 | 55% 43879-36307 (80186) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Downavg 59¢ | $3.49 | $5.91 | +$2.42 | 65% 21119-11585 (32704) |
Invested
$78.43
Value
$95.58
PnL
+$17.15
Record
57%
69318-52757 (122075)
Invested
$20.92
Value
$23.5
PnL
+$2.58
Record
51%
6607-6303 (12910)
pspspsps5CTR<$100Invested
$4.33
Value
—
PnL
-$4.33
Record
46%
37786-44290 (82076)
Invested
$13.08
Value
$13.49
PnL
+$0.41
Record
66%
124228-63947 (188175)
OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100Invested
$10.37
Value
—
PnL
-$10.37
Record
49%
77370-80568 (157938)
UpandDownSyndrome<$100Invested
$8.21
Value
$8.33
PnL
+$0.12
Record
63%
50900-30030 (80930)
Invested
$6.79
Value
$7
PnL
+$0.21
Record
61%
93625-58870 (152495)
Invested
$5.33
Value
$10.25
PnL
+$4.92
Record
66%
98433-50894 (149327)
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100Invested
$0.52
Value
—
PnL
-$0.52
Record
55%
43879-36307 (80186)
Invested
$3.49
Value
$5.91
PnL
+$2.42
Record
65%
21119-11585 (32704)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
uninformedfloww
Down — $95.58
ply-pm2
Down — $23.5
pspspsps5
CTRUp — $0
asdaefef
Down — $13.49
OhioRiskManagement
CTRUp — $0
UpandDownSyndrome
Down — $8.33
asidjasiodja
Down — $7
Bonereaper
Down — $10.25
MayorMamdani
CTRUp — $0
aaa221
Down — $5.91