Consensus Won β
Smart money consensus was Down β and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down

Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET
Resolved Down. 67% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
π
Won
9
Down 67%
1 arb excluded
$223.32
-$0.1
Smart Money Signal
6 of 9 top traders (67%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed3 hold an outcome priced under 50%9 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
![]() OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100 | Upavg 3.6Β’ | $18.88 | β | -$18.88 | 49% 77370-80568 (157938) |
PL ply-pm2ARB<$100 | Downavg 43.5Β’ | $68.25 | $80 | +$11.75 | 51% 6607-6303 (12910) |
| β Up leg | Upavg 31Β’ | $33.45 | β | -$33.45 | |
| β Down leg | Downavg 43.5Β’ | $34.8 | $80 | +$45.2 | |
![]() pspspsps5CTR<$100 | Upavg 2.2Β’ | $9.02 | β | -$9.02 | 46% 37786-44290 (82076) |
UN uninformedfloww<$100 | Downavg 68.1Β’ | $28.25 | $41.48 | +$13.22 | 57% 69318-52757 (122075) |
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530<$100 | Downavg 68.8Β’ | $27.09 | $39.36 | +$12.27 | 56% 57474-44398 (101872) |
AS asidjasiodja<$100 | Downavg 76.1Β’ | $18.34 | $24.11 | +$5.77 | 61% 93625-58870 (152495) |
DV dvasdkasodk<$100 | Downavg 88.3Β’ | $17.54 | $17.15 | -$0.39 | 52% 89117-83588 (172705) |
0X 0x50f7<$100 | Downavg 99.9Β’ | $14.99 | $15 | +$0.02 | 59% 61899-42898 (104797) |
![]() MayorMamdaniCTR<$100 | Upavg 13.3Β’ | $5.01 | β | -$5.01 | 55% 43879-36307 (80186) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Downavg 69Β’ | $4.3 | $6.23 | +$1.93 | 66% 124228-63947 (188175) |
OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100Invested
$18.88
Value
β
PnL
-$18.88
Record
49%
77370-80568 (157938)
Invested
$68.25
Value
$80
PnL
+$11.75
Record
51%
6607-6303 (12910)
Both legs:
pspspsps5CTR<$100Invested
$9.02
Value
β
PnL
-$9.02
Record
46%
37786-44290 (82076)
Invested
$28.25
Value
$41.48
PnL
+$13.22
Record
57%
69318-52757 (122075)
Invested
$27.09
Value
$39.36
PnL
+$12.27
Record
56%
57474-44398 (101872)
Invested
$18.34
Value
$24.11
PnL
+$5.77
Record
61%
93625-58870 (152495)
Invested
$17.54
Value
$17.15
PnL
-$0.39
Record
52%
89117-83588 (172705)
Invested
$14.99
Value
$15
PnL
+$0.02
Record
59%
61899-42898 (104797)
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100Invested
$5.01
Value
β
PnL
-$5.01
Record
55%
43879-36307 (80186)
Invested
$4.3
Value
$6.23
PnL
+$1.93
Record
66%
124228-63947 (188175)
Chat
Sign in with your wallet to post.
Market Info
Traders in this Market

OhioRiskManagement
CTRUp β $0
ply-pm2
ARBArbitrage β excluded

pspspsps5
CTRUp β $0
uninformedfloww
Down β $41.48
0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530
Down β $39.36
asidjasiodja
Down β $24.11
dvasdkasodk
Down β $17.15
0x50f7
Down β $15

MayorMamdani
CTRUp β $0
asdaefef
Down β $6.23