Consensus Won β
Smart money consensus was Down β and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down

Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET
Resolved Down. 56% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
π
Won
9
Down 63%
$252.05
$60.8
Smart Money Signal
5 of 9 top traders (56%)4 hold an outcome priced under 50%8 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
![]() OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100 | Upavg 2.7Β’ | $9.36 | β | -$9.36 | 49% 77370-80568 (157938) |
![]() pspspsps5CTR<$100 | Upavg 1.2Β’ | $3.46 | β | -$3.46 | 46% 37786-44290 (82076) |
UN uninformedfloww | Downavg 59.7Β’ | $118.8 | $191.26 | +$72.46 | 57% 69318-52757 (122075) |
PL ply-pm2<$100 | Downavg 50.2Β’ | $35.01 | $35.47 | +$0.46 | 51% 6607-6303 (12910) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Downavg 90.5Β’ | $11.97 | $13.23 | +$1.26 | 66% 124228-63947 (188175) |
DV dvasdkasodk<$100 | Downavg 97.7Β’ | $5.94 | $6.08 | +$0.14 | 52% 89117-83588 (172705) |
AS asidjasiodja<$100 | Downavg 98.9Β’ | $5.94 | $6.01 | +$0.07 | 61% 93625-58870 (152495) |
![]() MayorMamdaniCTR<$100 | Upavg 15Β’ | $0.77 | β | -$0.77 | 55% 43879-36307 (80186) |
DE devonpollCTR<$100 | Up | β | β | +$0 | 51% 19702-18871 (38573) |
OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100Invested
$9.36
Value
β
PnL
-$9.36
Record
49%
77370-80568 (157938)
pspspsps5CTR<$100Invested
$3.46
Value
β
PnL
-$3.46
Record
46%
37786-44290 (82076)
Invested
$118.8
Value
$191.26
PnL
+$72.46
Record
57%
69318-52757 (122075)
Invested
$35.01
Value
$35.47
PnL
+$0.46
Record
51%
6607-6303 (12910)
Invested
$11.97
Value
$13.23
PnL
+$1.26
Record
66%
124228-63947 (188175)
Invested
$5.94
Value
$6.08
PnL
+$0.14
Record
52%
89117-83588 (172705)
Invested
$5.94
Value
$6.01
PnL
+$0.07
Record
61%
93625-58870 (152495)
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100Invested
$0.77
Value
β
PnL
-$0.77
Record
55%
43879-36307 (80186)
Invested
β
Value
β
PnL
+$0
Record
51%
19702-18871 (38573)
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