Consensus Won β
Smart money consensus was Down β and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down

Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET
Resolved Down. 82% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
π
Won
11
Down 82%
$289.8
$34.87
Smart Money Signal
9 of 11 top traders (82%)2 hold an outcome priced under 50%11 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PL ply-pm2<$100 | Downavg 88.6Β’ | $85.61 | $85.33 | -$0.28 | 51% 6607-6303 (12910) |
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025<$100 | Downavg 76.1Β’ | $41.99 | $55.18 | +$13.2 | 58% 60028-43822 (103850) |
![]() OhioRiskManagement<$100 | Downavg 89Β’ | $27.02 | $27 | -$0.02 | 49% 77370-80568 (157938) |
![]() ohioism<$100 | Downavg 75Β’ | $33.62 | $44.82 | +$11.2 | 64% 39642-22617 (62259) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Downavg 97Β’ | $19.4 | $20 | +$0.6 | 65% 21119-11585 (32704) |
BO Bonereaper<$100 | Downavg 61Β’ | $16.48 | $27 | +$10.52 | 66% 98433-50894 (149327) |
PB PBot-6<$100 | Downavg 50Β’ | $10.01 | $20.02 | +$10.01 | 58% 50720-36853 (87573) |
![]() MayorMamdaniCTR<$100 | Upavg 16.4Β’ | $10.27 | β | -$10.27 | 55% 43879-36307 (80186) |
AS asidjasiodja<$100 | Downavg 86Β’ | $4.5 | $5.23 | +$0.73 | 61% 93625-58870 (152495) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Downavg 83.3Β’ | $4.35 | $5.22 | +$0.87 | 66% 124228-63947 (188175) |
DE devonpollCTR<$100 | Upavg 16Β’ | $1.7 | β | -$1.7 | 51% 19702-18871 (38573) |
Invested
$85.61
Value
$85.33
PnL
-$0.28
Record
51%
6607-6303 (12910)
Invested
$41.99
Value
$55.18
PnL
+$13.2
Record
58%
60028-43822 (103850)
OhioRiskManagement<$100Invested
$27.02
Value
$27
PnL
-$0.02
Record
49%
77370-80568 (157938)
ohioism<$100Invested
$33.62
Value
$44.82
PnL
+$11.2
Record
64%
39642-22617 (62259)
Invested
$19.4
Value
$20
PnL
+$0.6
Record
65%
21119-11585 (32704)
Invested
$16.48
Value
$27
PnL
+$10.52
Record
66%
98433-50894 (149327)
Invested
$10.01
Value
$20.02
PnL
+$10.01
Record
58%
50720-36853 (87573)
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100Invested
$10.27
Value
β
PnL
-$10.27
Record
55%
43879-36307 (80186)
Invested
$4.5
Value
$5.23
PnL
+$0.73
Record
61%
93625-58870 (152495)
Invested
$4.35
Value
$5.22
PnL
+$0.87
Record
66%
124228-63947 (188175)
Invested
$1.7
Value
β
PnL
-$1.7
Record
51%
19702-18871 (38573)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
ply-pm2
Down β $85.33
0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025
Down β $55.18

OhioRiskManagement
Down β $27

ohioism
Down β $44.82
aaa221
Down β $20
Bonereaper
Down β $27
PBot-6
Down β $20.02

MayorMamdani
CTRUp β $0
asidjasiodja
Down β $5.23
asdaefef
Down β $5.22