Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up
Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET
Resolved Up. 70% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
10
Up 67%
1 arb excluded
$625.62
$13.43
Smart Money Signal
7 of 10 top traders (70%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed3 hold an outcome priced under 50%8 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0X 0x50f7 | Upavg 99.9¢ | $274.82 | $275.1 | +$0.28 | 59% 61890-42888 (104778) |
0X 0xe3EeB127d5763a6E4aD597f773F9d259C94d5176-1780742904507 | Upavg 96.7¢ | $223.6 | $231.34 | +$7.74 | 48% 22986-25028 (48014) |
PL ply-pm2ARB<$100 | Upavg 61.2¢ | $43.4 | $51.03 | +$7.63 | 51% 6588-6273 (12861) |
| └ Down leg | Downavg 10.3¢ | $12.16 | — | -$12.16 | |
| └ Up leg | Upavg 61.2¢ | $31.24 | $51.03 | +$19.79 | |
AS asidjasiodja<$100 | Upavg 87.1¢ | $25.87 | $29.69 | +$3.82 | 61% 93594-58851 (152445) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Upavg 89.5¢ | $14.23 | $15.89 | +$1.66 | 66% 124187-63928 (188115) |
 pspspsps5CTR<$100 | Downavg 2.9¢ | $2.77 | — | -$2.77 | 46% 37781-44261 (82042) |
 MayorMamdaniCTR<$100 | Downavg 3.3¢ | $2.78 | — | -$2.78 | 55% 43850-36279 (80129) |
DV dvasdkasodk<$100 | Upavg 91.9¢ | $11.34 | $12.34 | +$1 | 52% 89083-83565 (172648) |
BO BonereaperCTR<$100 | Downavg 44.6¢ | $5.35 | — | -$5.35 | 66% 98425-50873 (149298) |
DE devonpoll<$100 | Upavg 87¢ | $8.9 | $10.23 | +$1.33 | 51% 19701-18860 (38561) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Upavg 70.7¢ | $21.2 | $0 | +$8.5 | 65% 21073-11552 (32625) |
Invested
$274.82
Value
$275.1
PnL
+$0.28
Record
59%
61890-42888 (104778)
Invested
$223.6
Value
$231.34
PnL
+$7.74
Record
48%
22986-25028 (48014)
Invested
$43.4
Value
$51.03
PnL
+$7.63
Record
51%
6588-6273 (12861)
Both legs:
Invested
$25.87
Value
$29.69
PnL
+$3.82
Record
61%
93594-58851 (152445)
Invested
$14.23
Value
$15.89
PnL
+$1.66
Record
66%
124187-63928 (188115)
pspspsps5CTR<$100Invested
$2.77
Value
—
PnL
-$2.77
Record
46%
37781-44261 (82042)
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100Invested
$2.78
Value
—
PnL
-$2.78
Record
55%
43850-36279 (80129)
Invested
$11.34
Value
$12.34
PnL
+$1
Record
52%
89083-83565 (172648)
Invested
$5.35
Value
—
PnL
-$5.35
Record
66%
98425-50873 (149298)
Invested
$8.9
Value
$10.23
PnL
+$1.33
Record
51%
19701-18860 (38561)
Invested
$21.2
Value
$0
PnL
+$8.5
Record
65%
21073-11552 (32625)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
0x50f7
Up — $275.1
0xe3EeB127d5763a6E4aD597f773F9d259C94d5176-1780742904507
Up — $231.34
ply-pm2
ARBArbitrage — excluded
asidjasiodja
Up — $29.69
asdaefef
Up — $15.89
pspspsps5
CTRDown — $0
MayorMamdani
CTRDown — $0
dvasdkasodk
Up — $12.34
Bonereaper
CTRDown — $0
devonpoll
Up — $10.23