Consensus Won β
Smart money consensus was Down β and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down

Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET
Resolved Down. 67% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
π
Won
12
Down 73%
$208.51
-$10.84
Smart Money Signal
8 of 12 top traders (67%)4 hold an outcome priced under 50%12 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PL ply-pm2<$100 | Downavg 53.8Β’ | $86.36 | $97.51 | +$11.16 | 51% 6564-6251 (12815) |
HO hoodquant<$100 | Downavg 98Β’ | $25.48 | $26 | +$0.52 | 93% 22362-1721 (24083) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Downavg 50.2Β’ | $13.96 | $20.17 | +$6.21 | 65% 123874-66232 (190106) |
AS asidjasiodja<$100 | Downavg 83.8Β’ | $17.08 | $20.37 | +$3.29 | 61% 93558-58834 (152392) |
BO BonereaperCTR<$100 | Upavg 53Β’ | $17.49 | β | -$17.49 | 66% 98415-50861 (149276) |
![]() MayorMamdani<$100 | Downavg 94Β’ | $16.13 | $16.67 | +$0.54 | 55% 43829-36245 (80074) |
HS HsilverbasherCTR<$100 | Upavg 48Β’ | $13.77 | β | -$13.77 | 12% 17894-132716 (150610) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Downavg 85.3Β’ | $11.48 | $13.46 | +$1.98 | 66% 124150-63912 (188062) |
![]() UpandDownSyndrome<$100 | Downavg 90Β’ | $8.43 | $9.37 | +$0.94 | 63% 50847-30010 (80857) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Downavg 69Β’ | $16.93 | $4.97 | -$4.16 | 65% 21027-11533 (32560) |
![]() pspspsps5CTR<$100 | Upavg 5Β’ | $0.05 | β | -$0.05 | 46% 37771-44231 (82002) |
DE devonpollCTR<$100 | Up | β | β | +$0 | 51% 19689-18852 (38541) |
Invested
$86.36
Value
$97.51
PnL
+$11.16
Record
51%
6564-6251 (12815)
Invested
$25.48
Value
$26
PnL
+$0.52
Record
93%
22362-1721 (24083)
Invested
$13.96
Value
$20.17
PnL
+$6.21
Record
65%
123874-66232 (190106)
Invested
$17.08
Value
$20.37
PnL
+$3.29
Record
61%
93558-58834 (152392)
Invested
$17.49
Value
β
PnL
-$17.49
Record
66%
98415-50861 (149276)
MayorMamdani<$100Invested
$16.13
Value
$16.67
PnL
+$0.54
Record
55%
43829-36245 (80074)
Invested
$13.77
Value
β
PnL
-$13.77
Record
12%
17894-132716 (150610)
Invested
$11.48
Value
$13.46
PnL
+$1.98
Record
66%
124150-63912 (188062)
UpandDownSyndrome<$100Invested
$8.43
Value
$9.37
PnL
+$0.94
Record
63%
50847-30010 (80857)
Invested
$16.93
Value
$4.97
PnL
-$4.16
Record
65%
21027-11533 (32560)
pspspsps5CTR<$100Invested
$0.05
Value
β
PnL
-$0.05
Record
46%
37771-44231 (82002)
Invested
β
Value
β
PnL
+$0
Record
51%
19689-18852 (38541)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
ply-pm2
Down β $97.51
hoodquant
Down β $26
drfc4eybh7i8
Down β $20.17
asidjasiodja
Down β $20.37
Bonereaper
CTRUp β $0

MayorMamdani
Down β $16.67
Hsilverbasher
CTRUp β $0
asdaefef
Down β $13.46

UpandDownSyndrome
Down β $9.37
aaa221
Down β $4.97