Consensus Won β
Smart money consensus was Down β and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down

Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET
Resolved Down. 50% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
π
Won
12
Down 60%
$78.82
-$118.71
Smart Money Signal
6 of 12 top traders (50%)6 hold an outcome priced under 50%12 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PL ply-pm2CTR<$100 | Upavg 38.1Β’ | $82.73 | β | -$82.73 | 51% 6564-6251 (12815) |
BO BonereaperCTR<$100 | Upavg 63.8Β’ | $45.92 | β | -$45.92 | 66% 98415-50861 (149276) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Downavg 55.3Β’ | $20.68 | $31.17 | +$10.49 | 65% 123874-66232 (190106) |
AS asidjasiodja<$100 | Downavg 78.9Β’ | $15.39 | $19.51 | +$4.12 | 61% 93558-58834 (152392) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Downavg 76.3Β’ | $16.15 | $15.4 | -$0.75 | 66% 124150-63912 (188062) |
![]() MayorMamdani<$100 | Downavg 70Β’ | $4.86 | $4.3 | -$0.56 | 55% 43829-36245 (80074) |
![]() ohioism<$100 | Downavg 74Β’ | $3.7 | $5 | +$1.3 | 64% 39626-22607 (62233) |
![]() BoneOhio<$100 | Downavg 71Β’ | $2.45 | $3.45 | +$1 | 74% 102021-36286 (138307) |
DV dvasdkasodkCTR<$100 | Upavg 17.3Β’ | $2.14 | β | -$2.14 | 52% 89056-83535 (172591) |
AA aaa221CTR<$100 | Upavg 32Β’ | $5.35 | β | -$3.49 | 65% 21027-11533 (32560) |
![]() pspspsps5CTR<$100 | Upavg 9Β’ | $0.02 | β | -$0.02 | 46% 37771-44231 (82002) |
DE devonpollCTR<$100 | Upavg 73Β’ | β | β | +$0 | 51% 19689-18852 (38541) |
Invested
$82.73
Value
β
PnL
-$82.73
Record
51%
6564-6251 (12815)
Invested
$45.92
Value
β
PnL
-$45.92
Record
66%
98415-50861 (149276)
Invested
$20.68
Value
$31.17
PnL
+$10.49
Record
65%
123874-66232 (190106)
Invested
$15.39
Value
$19.51
PnL
+$4.12
Record
61%
93558-58834 (152392)
Invested
$16.15
Value
$15.4
PnL
-$0.75
Record
66%
124150-63912 (188062)
MayorMamdani<$100Invested
$4.86
Value
$4.3
PnL
-$0.56
Record
55%
43829-36245 (80074)
ohioism<$100Invested
$3.7
Value
$5
PnL
+$1.3
Record
64%
39626-22607 (62233)
BoneOhio<$100Invested
$2.45
Value
$3.45
PnL
+$1
Record
74%
102021-36286 (138307)
Invested
$2.14
Value
β
PnL
-$2.14
Record
52%
89056-83535 (172591)
Invested
$5.35
Value
β
PnL
-$3.49
Record
65%
21027-11533 (32560)
pspspsps5CTR<$100Invested
$0.02
Value
β
PnL
-$0.02
Record
46%
37771-44231 (82002)
Invested
β
Value
β
PnL
+$0
Record
51%
19689-18852 (38541)
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