Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Up — but Down won instead.
Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET
Resolved Down. 56% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was wrong.
💀
Lost
9
Up 56%
$121.31
-$2.82
Smart Money Signal
5 of 9 top traders (56%)5 hold an outcome priced under 50%9 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PL ply-pm2<$100 | Downavg 75.3¢ | $54.9 | $72.38 | +$17.48 | 51% 6539-6233 (12772) |
 MayorMamdani<$100 | Downavg 86¢ | $13.79 | $14.99 | +$1.2 | 55% 43796-36217 (80013) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Downavg 97¢ | $17.06 | $17.59 | +$0.53 | 65% 20975-11511 (32486) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Downavg 91.7¢ | $14.99 | $16.34 | +$1.35 | 66% 124118-63886 (188004) |
BO BonereaperCTR<$100 | Upavg 52.7¢ | $11.6 | — | -$11.6 | 66% 98405-50847 (149252) |
 pspspsps5CTR<$100 | Upavg 2.5¢ | $0.58 | — | -$0.58 | 46% 37757-44204 (81961) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8CTR<$100 | Upavg 42¢ | $4.2 | — | -$4.2 | 65% 123835-66215 (190050) |
HS HsilverbasherCTR<$100 | Upavg 50¢ | $5 | — | -$5 | 12% 17890-132710 (150600) |
DE devonpollCTR<$100 | Upavg 18¢ | $2 | — | -$2 | 51% 19680-18843 (38523) |
Invested
$54.9
Value
$72.38
PnL
+$17.48
Record
51%
6539-6233 (12772)
MayorMamdani<$100Invested
$13.79
Value
$14.99
PnL
+$1.2
Record
55%
43796-36217 (80013)
Invested
$17.06
Value
$17.59
PnL
+$0.53
Record
65%
20975-11511 (32486)
Invested
$14.99
Value
$16.34
PnL
+$1.35
Record
66%
124118-63886 (188004)
Invested
$11.6
Value
—
PnL
-$11.6
Record
66%
98405-50847 (149252)
pspspsps5CTR<$100Invested
$0.58
Value
—
PnL
-$0.58
Record
46%
37757-44204 (81961)
Invested
$4.2
Value
—
PnL
-$4.2
Record
65%
123835-66215 (190050)
Invested
$5
Value
—
PnL
-$5
Record
12%
17890-132710 (150600)
Invested
$2
Value
—
PnL
-$2
Record
51%
19680-18843 (38523)
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