Consensus Won β
Smart money consensus was Down β and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down

Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET
Resolved Down. 67% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
π
Won
9
Down 67%
$163.26
-$3.63
Smart Money Signal
6 of 9 top traders (67%)3 hold an outcome priced under 50%9 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PL ply-pm2<$100 | Downavg 84.5Β’ | $81.94 | $80.1 | -$1.84 | 51% 6539-6233 (12772) |
![]() MayorMamdani<$100 | Downavg 86.7Β’ | $26.56 | $30 | +$3.44 | 55% 43796-36217 (80013) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Downavg 96Β’ | $21.95 | $20 | -$1.95 | 65% 20975-11511 (32486) |
![]() pspspsps5CTR<$100 | Upavg 2.4Β’ | $3.24 | β | -$3.24 | 46% 37757-44204 (81961) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Downavg 84Β’ | $16.8 | $20 | +$3.2 | 65% 123835-66215 (190050) |
HO hoodquant<$100 | Downavg 99Β’ | $8.08 | $8.16 | +$0.08 | 93% 22338-1719 (24057) |
0X 0x50f7CTR<$100 | Upavg 3.7Β’ | $1.97 | β | -$1.97 | 59% 61872-42853 (104725) |
BO BonereaperCTR<$100 | Upavg 48Β’ | $2.45 | β | -$2.45 | 66% 98405-50847 (149252) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Downavg 78Β’ | $3.9 | $5 | +$1.1 | 66% 124118-63886 (188004) |
Invested
$81.94
Value
$80.1
PnL
-$1.84
Record
51%
6539-6233 (12772)
MayorMamdani<$100Invested
$26.56
Value
$30
PnL
+$3.44
Record
55%
43796-36217 (80013)
Invested
$21.95
Value
$20
PnL
-$1.95
Record
65%
20975-11511 (32486)
pspspsps5CTR<$100Invested
$3.24
Value
β
PnL
-$3.24
Record
46%
37757-44204 (81961)
Invested
$16.8
Value
$20
PnL
+$3.2
Record
65%
123835-66215 (190050)
Invested
$8.08
Value
$8.16
PnL
+$0.08
Record
93%
22338-1719 (24057)
Invested
$1.97
Value
β
PnL
-$1.97
Record
59%
61872-42853 (104725)
Invested
$2.45
Value
β
PnL
-$2.45
Record
66%
98405-50847 (149252)
Invested
$3.9
Value
$5
PnL
+$1.1
Record
66%
124118-63886 (188004)
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