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Consensus Lost ✗

Smart money consensus was Down — but Up won instead.

Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET

Resolved Up. 58% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was wrong.

View on Polymarket
RESOLVED

💀

Lost

Consensus Traders

12

Down 58%

Total Value

$248.89

Combined PnL

-$90.24

Smart Money Signal

Down

7 of 12 top traders (58%)7 hold an outcome priced under 50%11 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity
Loading chart data…

Outcome Probabilities

Up100%
Down0%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Up5 traders
Total Value$248.89
Total Shares249
Combined PnL-$16.27
Down7 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares179
Combined PnL-$73.97
Up — 42%Down — 58%
PL
ply-pm2
Up

Invested

$181.22

Value

$156.8

PnL

-$24.42

Record

51%

6539-6233 (12772)

TH
thesidehustle<$100
Up

Invested

$43.73

Value

$38.87

PnL

-$4.86

Record

54%

10215-8684 (18899)

0X
0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530CTR<$100
Down

Invested

$30.17

Value

—

PnL

-$30.17

Record

56%

57437-44370 (101807)

AA
aaa221<$100
Up

Invested

$28.17

Value

$23.14

PnL

+$14.77

Record

65%

20975-11511 (32486)

AS
asidjasiodja<$100
Up

Invested

$26.02

Value

$24.08

PnL

-$1.94

Record

61%

93527-58804 (152331)

BO
BonereaperCTR<$100
Down

Invested

$23.73

Value

—

PnL

-$23.73

Record

66%

98405-50847 (149252)

DR
drfc4eybh7i8CTR<$100
Down

Invested

$12

Value

—

PnL

-$12

Record

65%

123835-66215 (190050)

0X
0x50f7CTR<$100
Down

Invested

$0.78

Value

—

PnL

-$0.78

Record

59%

61872-42853 (104725)

AS
asdaefef<$100
Up

Invested

$5.82

Value

$6

PnL

+$0.18

Record

66%

124118-63886 (188004)

MayorMamdaniCTR<$100
Down

Invested

$4.96

Value

—

PnL

-$4.96

Record

55%

43796-36217 (80013)

0X
0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518CTR<$100
Down

Invested

$1.96

Value

—

PnL

-$1.96

Record

58%

37338-26566 (63904)

pspspsps5CTR<$100
Down

Invested

$0.37

Value

—

PnL

-$0.37

Record

46%

37757-44204 (81961)

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Market Info

Condition ID
0x3e536568...a47b93
Slug
eth-updown-5m-1793144100

Traders in this Market

PL

ply-pm2

Up — $156.8

-$24.42
TH

thesidehustle

Up — $38.87

-$4.86
0X

0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530

CTR

Down — $0

-$30.17
AA

aaa221

Up — $23.14

+$14.77
AS

asidjasiodja

Up — $24.08

-$1.94
BO

Bonereaper

CTR

Down — $0

-$23.73
DR

drfc4eybh7i8

CTR

Down — $0

-$12
0X

0x50f7

CTR

Down — $0

-$0.78
AS

asdaefef

Up — $6

+$0.18

MayorMamdani

CTR

Down — $0

-$4.96
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