Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up
Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET
Resolved Up. 88% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
8
Up 88%
1 arb excluded
$349
$23.1
Smart Money Signal
7 of 8 top traders (88%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed1 holds an outcome priced under 50%8 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PL ply-pm2ARB<$100 | Upavg 85.5¢ | $139.89 | $135 | -$4.89 | 51% 6539-6233 (12772) |
| └ Up leg | Upavg 85.5¢ | $115.4 | $135 | +$19.6 | |
| └ Down leg | Downavg 38.6¢ | $24.49 | — | -$24.49 | |
AA aaa221<$100 | Upavg 86.8¢ | $41.55 | $45 | +$3.45 | 65% 20975-11511 (32486) |
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530<$100 | Upavg 84¢ | $42.15 | $50.18 | +$8.03 | 56% 57437-44370 (101807) |
 ohioism<$100 | Upavg 84¢ | $41.58 | $49.5 | +$7.92 | 64% 39618-22602 (62220) |
AS asidjasiodja<$100 | Upavg 91.3¢ | $24.95 | $27.32 | +$2.37 | 61% 93527-58804 (152331) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Upavg 82.5¢ | $16.5 | $20 | +$3.5 | 65% 123835-66215 (190050) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Upavg 85.6¢ | $10.27 | $12 | +$1.73 | 66% 124118-63886 (188004) |
BO BonereaperCTR<$100 | Downavg 47¢ | $5.17 | — | -$5.17 | 66% 98405-50847 (149252) |
TH thesidehustle<$100 | Upavg 87¢ | $8.73 | $10 | +$1.27 | 54% 10215-8684 (18899) |
Invested
$139.89
Value
$135
PnL
-$4.89
Record
51%
6539-6233 (12772)
Both legs:
Invested
$41.55
Value
$45
PnL
+$3.45
Record
65%
20975-11511 (32486)
Invested
$42.15
Value
$50.18
PnL
+$8.03
Record
56%
57437-44370 (101807)
ohioism<$100Invested
$41.58
Value
$49.5
PnL
+$7.92
Record
64%
39618-22602 (62220)
Invested
$24.95
Value
$27.32
PnL
+$2.37
Record
61%
93527-58804 (152331)
Invested
$16.5
Value
$20
PnL
+$3.5
Record
65%
123835-66215 (190050)
Invested
$10.27
Value
$12
PnL
+$1.73
Record
66%
124118-63886 (188004)
Invested
$5.17
Value
—
PnL
-$5.17
Record
66%
98405-50847 (149252)
Invested
$8.73
Value
$10
PnL
+$1.27
Record
54%
10215-8684 (18899)
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