Consensus Won β
Smart money consensus was Down β and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down

Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET
Resolved Down. 78% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
π
Won
9
Down 88%
1 arb excluded
$879.44
$12.85
Smart Money Signal
7 of 9 top traders (78%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed2 hold an outcome priced under 50%6 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
HO hoodquant | Downavg 99Β’ | $283.9 | $286.77 | +$2.87 | 93% 22338-1719 (24057) |
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518 | Downavg 98.5Β’ | $219.65 | $223 | +$3.35 | 58% 37338-26566 (63904) |
![]() MayorMamdani | Downavg 79.3Β’ | $140.29 | $167.07 | +$26.78 | 55% 43796-36217 (80013) |
PL ply-pm2ARB<$100 | Downavg 50.8Β’ | $91.93 | $137.3 | +$45.37 | 51% 6539-6233 (12772) |
| β Down leg | Downavg 50.8Β’ | $69.74 | $137.3 | +$67.57 | |
| β Up leg | Upavg 32.5Β’ | $22.2 | β | -$22.2 | |
AA aaa221CTR<$100 | Upavg 54.5Β’ | $29.15 | β | -$29.15 | 65% 20975-11511 (32486) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Downavg 79.3Β’ | $14.2 | $15.12 | +$0.92 | 66% 124118-63886 (188004) |
![]() UpandDownSyndrome<$100 | Downavg 85Β’ | $28.06 | $33.01 | +$4.95 | 63% 50818-30002 (80820) |
AS asidjasiodja<$100 | Downavg 70Β’ | $9.83 | $9.92 | +$0.09 | 61% 93527-58804 (152331) |
DV dvasdkasodk<$100 | Downavg 58Β’ | $4.2 | $7.24 | +$3.04 | 52% 89030-83502 (172532) |
DE devonpollCTR<$100 | Upavg 46.2Β’ | β | β | +$0 | 51% 19680-18843 (38523) |
Invested
$283.9
Value
$286.77
PnL
+$2.87
Record
93%
22338-1719 (24057)
Invested
$219.65
Value
$223
PnL
+$3.35
Record
58%
37338-26566 (63904)
MayorMamdaniInvested
$140.29
Value
$167.07
PnL
+$26.78
Record
55%
43796-36217 (80013)
Invested
$91.93
Value
$137.3
PnL
+$45.37
Record
51%
6539-6233 (12772)
Both legs:
Invested
$29.15
Value
β
PnL
-$29.15
Record
65%
20975-11511 (32486)
Invested
$14.2
Value
$15.12
PnL
+$0.92
Record
66%
124118-63886 (188004)
UpandDownSyndrome<$100Invested
$28.06
Value
$33.01
PnL
+$4.95
Record
63%
50818-30002 (80820)
Invested
$9.83
Value
$9.92
PnL
+$0.09
Record
61%
93527-58804 (152331)
Invested
$4.2
Value
$7.24
PnL
+$3.04
Record
52%
89030-83502 (172532)
Invested
β
Value
β
PnL
+$0
Record
51%
19680-18843 (38523)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
hoodquant
Down β $286.77
0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518
Down β $223

MayorMamdani
Down β $167.07
ply-pm2
ARBArbitrage β excluded
aaa221
CTRUp β $0
asdaefef
Down β $15.12

UpandDownSyndrome
Down β $33.01
asidjasiodja
Down β $9.92
dvasdkasodk
Down β $7.24
devonpoll
CTRUp β $0