Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down
Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET
Resolved Down. 69% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
13
Down 75%
1 arb excluded
$675.08
$17.99
Smart Money Signal
9 of 13 top traders (69%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed4 hold an outcome priced under 50%12 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
HO hoodquant | Downavg 99¢ | $279.59 | $282.41 | +$2.82 | 93% 22338-1719 (24057) |
PL ply-pm2ARB<$100 | Downavg 36¢ | $86.71 | $139.34 | +$52.63 | 51% 6539-6233 (12772) |
| └ Down leg | Downavg 36¢ | $50.13 | $139.34 | +$89.2 | |
| └ Up leg | Upavg 36.8¢ | $36.58 | — | -$36.58 | |
AA aaa221CTR<$100 | Upavg 52.4¢ | $26.26 | — | -$26.26 | 65% 20975-11511 (32486) |
0X 0xe3EeB127d5763a6E4aD597f773F9d259C94d5176-1780742904507<$100 | Downavg 50¢ | $28.25 | $56.49 | +$28.25 | 48% 22972-25014 (47986) |
BO Bonereaper<$100 | Downavg 50¢ | $23.72 | $34 | +$10.28 | 66% 98405-50847 (149252) |
DV dvasdkasodk<$100 | Downavg 64.1¢ | $30.24 | $29.87 | -$0.37 | 52% 89030-83502 (172532) |
AS asidjasiodja<$100 | Downavg 63.4¢ | $29.57 | $37.77 | +$8.2 | 61% 93527-58804 (152331) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Downavg 78¢ | $23.99 | $20.51 | -$3.48 | 66% 124118-63886 (188004) |
 MayorMamdaniCTR<$100 | Upavg 79¢ | $18.53 | — | -$18.53 | 55% 43796-36217 (80013) |
 UpandDownSyndrome<$100 | Downavg 94.1¢ | $21.28 | $22.62 | +$1.34 | 63% 50818-30002 (80820) |
HS Hsilverbasher<$100 | Downavg 50¢ | $13.5 | $27 | +$13.5 | 12% 17890-132710 (150600) |
 ohioism<$100 | Downavg 65¢ | $16.3 | $25.08 | +$8.78 | 64% 39618-22602 (62220) |
 BoneOhioCTR<$100 | Upavg 69¢ | $6.53 | — | -$6.53 | 74% 102017-36283 (138300) |
DE devonpollCTR<$100 | Up | — | — | +$0 | 51% 19680-18843 (38523) |
Invested
$279.59
Value
$282.41
PnL
+$2.82
Record
93%
22338-1719 (24057)
Invested
$86.71
Value
$139.34
PnL
+$52.63
Record
51%
6539-6233 (12772)
Both legs:
Invested
$26.26
Value
—
PnL
-$26.26
Record
65%
20975-11511 (32486)
Invested
$28.25
Value
$56.49
PnL
+$28.25
Record
48%
22972-25014 (47986)
Invested
$23.72
Value
$34
PnL
+$10.28
Record
66%
98405-50847 (149252)
Invested
$30.24
Value
$29.87
PnL
-$0.37
Record
52%
89030-83502 (172532)
Invested
$29.57
Value
$37.77
PnL
+$8.2
Record
61%
93527-58804 (152331)
Invested
$23.99
Value
$20.51
PnL
-$3.48
Record
66%
124118-63886 (188004)
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100Invested
$18.53
Value
—
PnL
-$18.53
Record
55%
43796-36217 (80013)
UpandDownSyndrome<$100Invested
$21.28
Value
$22.62
PnL
+$1.34
Record
63%
50818-30002 (80820)
Invested
$13.5
Value
$27
PnL
+$13.5
Record
12%
17890-132710 (150600)
ohioism<$100Invested
$16.3
Value
$25.08
PnL
+$8.78
Record
64%
39618-22602 (62220)
BoneOhioCTR<$100Invested
$6.53
Value
—
PnL
-$6.53
Record
74%
102017-36283 (138300)
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
51%
19680-18843 (38523)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
hoodquant
Down — $282.41
ply-pm2
ARBArbitrage — excluded
aaa221
CTRUp — $0
0xe3EeB127d5763a6E4aD597f773F9d259C94d5176-1780742904507
Down — $56.49
Bonereaper
Down — $34
dvasdkasodk
Down — $29.87
asidjasiodja
Down — $37.77
asdaefef
Down — $20.51
MayorMamdani
CTRUp — $0
UpandDownSyndrome
Down — $22.62