Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up
Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET
Resolved Up. 80% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
10
Up 78%
1 arb excluded
$357.17
$36.65
Smart Money Signal
8 of 10 top traders (80%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed2 hold an outcome priced under 50%10 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 pspspsps5CTR<$100 | Downavg 1¢ | $2.63 | — | -$2.63 | 46% 37757-44204 (81961) |
PL ply-pm2ARB<$100 | Upavg 59.4¢ | $207.51 | $239.84 | +$32.33 | 51% 6539-6233 (12772) |
| └ Down leg | Downavg 39.9¢ | $65.12 | — | -$65.12 | |
| └ Up leg | Upavg 59.4¢ | $142.39 | $239.84 | +$97.45 | |
BO Bonereaper<$100 | Upavg 50¢ | $13 | $26 | +$13 | 66% 98405-50847 (149252) |
 MayorMamdani<$100 | Upavg 86.9¢ | $34.03 | $39.18 | +$5.15 | 55% 43796-36217 (80013) |
AS asidjasiodja<$100 | Upavg 78.1¢ | $21.86 | $22.76 | +$0.9 | 61% 93527-58804 (152331) |
DE devonpoll<$100 | Upavg 82.1¢ | $9 | $10.96 | +$1.96 | 51% 19680-18843 (38523) |
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530CTR<$100 | Downavg 56¢ | $2.8 | — | -$2.8 | 56% 57437-44370 (101807) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Upavg 45¢ | $3.27 | $7.27 | +$4 | 65% 123835-66215 (190050) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Upavg 64¢ | $3.84 | $6 | +$2.16 | 66% 124118-63886 (188004) |
DV dvasdkasodk<$100 | Upavg 67¢ | $3.45 | $5.15 | +$1.7 | 52% 89030-83502 (172532) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Upavg 55¢ | $16.5 | — | +$13.2 | 65% 20975-11511 (32486) |
pspspsps5CTR<$100Invested
$2.63
Value
—
PnL
-$2.63
Record
46%
37757-44204 (81961)
Invested
$207.51
Value
$239.84
PnL
+$32.33
Record
51%
6539-6233 (12772)
Both legs:
Invested
$13
Value
$26
PnL
+$13
Record
66%
98405-50847 (149252)
MayorMamdani<$100Invested
$34.03
Value
$39.18
PnL
+$5.15
Record
55%
43796-36217 (80013)
Invested
$21.86
Value
$22.76
PnL
+$0.9
Record
61%
93527-58804 (152331)
Invested
$9
Value
$10.96
PnL
+$1.96
Record
51%
19680-18843 (38523)
Invested
$2.8
Value
—
PnL
-$2.8
Record
56%
57437-44370 (101807)
Invested
$3.27
Value
$7.27
PnL
+$4
Record
65%
123835-66215 (190050)
Invested
$3.84
Value
$6
PnL
+$2.16
Record
66%
124118-63886 (188004)
Invested
$3.45
Value
$5.15
PnL
+$1.7
Record
52%
89030-83502 (172532)
Invested
$16.5
Value
—
PnL
+$13.2
Record
65%
20975-11511 (32486)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
pspspsps5
CTRDown — $0
ply-pm2
ARBArbitrage — excluded
Bonereaper
Up — $26
MayorMamdani
Up — $39.18
asidjasiodja
Up — $22.76
devonpoll
Up — $10.96
0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530
CTRDown — $0
drfc4eybh7i8
Up — $7.27
asdaefef
Up — $6
dvasdkasodk
Up — $5.15