Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up
Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET
Resolved Up. 70% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
10
Up 70%
1 arb excluded
$420.98
-$3.45
Smart Money Signal
7 of 10 top traders (70%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed3 hold an outcome priced under 50%10 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PL ply-pm2ARB<$100 | Upavg 61.2¢ | $264.54 | $312.68 | +$48.14 | 51% 6539-6233 (12772) |
| └ Up leg | Upavg 61.2¢ | $191.21 | $312.68 | +$121.47 | |
| └ Down leg | Downavg 29.4¢ | $73.33 | — | -$73.33 | |
AA aaa221<$100 | Upavg 67.2¢ | $34.53 | $51.4 | +$16.87 | 65% 20975-11511 (32486) |
 BoneOhio<$100 | Upavg 96¢ | $24.77 | $25.8 | +$1.03 | 74% 102017-36283 (138300) |
 Polkadot-FrogCTR<$100 | Downavg 44¢ | $19.78 | — | -$19.78 | 64% 57400-32165 (89565) |
0X 0xe3EeB127d5763a6E4aD597f773F9d259C94d5176-1780742904507CTR<$100 | Downavg 21¢ | $4.62 | — | -$4.62 | 48% 22972-25014 (47986) |
DE devonpoll<$100 | Upavg 82¢ | $8.3 | $10.12 | +$1.82 | 51% 19680-18843 (38523) |
 MayorMamdaniCTR<$100 | Downavg 22.3¢ | $4.68 | — | -$4.68 | 55% 43796-36217 (80013) |
DV dvasdkasodk<$100 | Upavg 73¢ | $4.73 | $5 | +$0.27 | 52% 89030-83502 (172532) |
AS asidjasiodja<$100 | Upavg 50¢ | $3 | $6 | +$3 | 61% 93527-58804 (152331) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Upavg 82¢ | $4.1 | $5 | +$0.9 | 66% 124118-63886 (188004) |
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025<$100 | Upavg 65¢ | $3.24 | $4.98 | +$1.74 | 58% 59994-43795 (103789) |
Invested
$264.54
Value
$312.68
PnL
+$48.14
Record
51%
6539-6233 (12772)
Both legs:
Invested
$34.53
Value
$51.4
PnL
+$16.87
Record
65%
20975-11511 (32486)
BoneOhio<$100Invested
$24.77
Value
$25.8
PnL
+$1.03
Record
74%
102017-36283 (138300)
Polkadot-FrogCTR<$100Invested
$19.78
Value
—
PnL
-$19.78
Record
64%
57400-32165 (89565)
Invested
$4.62
Value
—
PnL
-$4.62
Record
48%
22972-25014 (47986)
Invested
$8.3
Value
$10.12
PnL
+$1.82
Record
51%
19680-18843 (38523)
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100Invested
$4.68
Value
—
PnL
-$4.68
Record
55%
43796-36217 (80013)
Invested
$4.73
Value
$5
PnL
+$0.27
Record
52%
89030-83502 (172532)
Invested
$3
Value
$6
PnL
+$3
Record
61%
93527-58804 (152331)
Invested
$4.1
Value
$5
PnL
+$0.9
Record
66%
124118-63886 (188004)
Invested
$3.24
Value
$4.98
PnL
+$1.74
Record
58%
59994-43795 (103789)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
ply-pm2
ARBArbitrage — excluded
aaa221
Up — $51.4
BoneOhio
Up — $25.8
Polkadot-Frog
CTRDown — $0
0xe3EeB127d5763a6E4aD597f773F9d259C94d5176-1780742904507
CTRDown — $0
devonpoll
Up — $10.12
MayorMamdani
CTRDown — $0
dvasdkasodk
Up — $5
asidjasiodja
Up — $6
asdaefef
Up — $5