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Consensus Lost ✗

Smart money consensus was Down — but Up won instead.

Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET

Resolved Up. 64% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was wrong.

View on Polymarket
RESOLVED

💀

Lost

Consensus Traders

11

Down 64%

Total Value

$127.8

Combined PnL

-$382.13

Smart Money Signal

Down

7 of 11 top traders (64%)7 hold an outcome priced under 50%10 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity
Loading chart data…

Outcome Probabilities

Up100%
Down0%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Down7 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares461
Combined PnL-$423.47
Up4 traders
Total Value$127.8
Total Shares128
Combined PnL+$41.34
Down — 64%Up — 36%
PL
ply-pm2CTR
Down

Invested

$347.33

Value

—

PnL

-$347.33

Record

51%

6539-6233 (12772)

MayorMamdani<$100
Up

Invested

$30.7

Value

$67.54

PnL

+$36.84

Record

55%

43796-36217 (80013)

HO
hoodquant<$100
Up

Invested

$35.81

Value

$36.54

PnL

+$0.73

Record

93%

22338-1719 (24057)

HS
HsilverbasherCTR<$100
Down

Invested

$20.58

Value

—

PnL

-$20.58

Record

12%

17890-132710 (150600)

AA
aaa221CTR<$100
Down

Invested

$22.41

Value

—

PnL

-$19.88

Record

65%

20975-11511 (32486)

Polkadot-FrogCTR<$100
Down

Invested

$12.25

Value

—

PnL

-$12.25

Record

64%

57400-32165 (89565)

AS
asdaefef<$100
Up

Invested

$18.45

Value

$13

PnL

-$5.45

Record

66%

124118-63886 (188004)

DV
dvasdkasodkCTR<$100
Down

Invested

$7.64

Value

—

PnL

-$7.64

Record

52%

89030-83502 (172532)

AS
asidjasiodjaCTR<$100
Down

Invested

$11.69

Value

—

PnL

-$11.69

Record

61%

93527-58804 (152331)

DE
devonpoll<$100
Up

Invested

$1.5

Value

$10.71

PnL

+$9.21

Record

51%

19680-18843 (38523)

DR
drfc4eybh7i8CTR<$100
Down

Invested

$4.1

Value

—

PnL

-$4.1

Record

65%

123835-66215 (190050)

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Market Info

Condition ID
0x8ba4bc9c...b813ad
Slug
eth-updown-5m-1793141400

Traders in this Market

PL

ply-pm2

CTR

Down — $0

-$347.33

MayorMamdani

Up — $67.54

+$36.84
HO

hoodquant

Up — $36.54

+$0.73
HS

Hsilverbasher

CTR

Down — $0

-$20.58
AA

aaa221

CTR

Down — $0

-$19.88

Polkadot-Frog

CTR

Down — $0

-$12.25
AS

asdaefef

Up — $13

-$5.45
DV

dvasdkasodk

CTR

Down — $0

-$7.64
AS

asidjasiodja

CTR

Down — $0

-$11.69
DE

devonpoll

Up — $10.71

+$9.21
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