Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down
Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET
Resolved Down. 33% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
9
Down 38%
1 arb excluded
$558.34
-$23.2
Smart Money Signal
3 of 9 top traders (33%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed6 hold an outcome priced under 50%8 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
HO hoodquant | Downavg 99¢ | $290.07 | $293 | +$2.93 | 93% 22322-1716 (24038) |
PL ply-pm2ARB<$100 | Downavg 62.8¢ | $224.74 | $242.7 | +$17.96 | 51% 6507-6200 (12707) |
| └ Down leg | Downavg 62.8¢ | $152.3 | $242.7 | +$90.4 | |
| └ Up leg | Upavg 42.5¢ | $72.44 | — | -$72.44 | |
AA aaa221<$100 | Downavg 82¢ | $7.5 | $5 | -$2.5 | 65% 20906-11464 (32370) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Downavg 87.1¢ | $15.37 | $17.64 | +$2.27 | 66% 124076-63863 (187939) |
AS asidjasiodjaCTR<$100 | Upavg 14.4¢ | $2.43 | — | -$2.43 | 61% 93493-58782 (152275) |
 Polkadot-FrogCTR<$100 | Upavg 46.3¢ | $20.21 | — | -$20.21 | 64% 57374-32152 (89526) |
DV dvasdkasodkCTR<$100 | Upavg 15¢ | $1.3 | — | -$1.3 | 52% 88990-83472 (172462) |
 pspspsps5CTR<$100 | Upavg 1.1¢ | $1.84 | — | -$1.84 | 46% 37743-44179 (81922) |
 MayorMamdaniCTR<$100 | Upavg 1¢ | $0.12 | — | -$0.12 | 55% 43758-36180 (79938) |
DE devonpollCTR<$100 | Up | — | — | +$0 | 51% 19668-18828 (38496) |
Invested
$290.07
Value
$293
PnL
+$2.93
Record
93%
22322-1716 (24038)
Invested
$224.74
Value
$242.7
PnL
+$17.96
Record
51%
6507-6200 (12707)
Both legs:
Invested
$7.5
Value
$5
PnL
-$2.5
Record
65%
20906-11464 (32370)
Invested
$15.37
Value
$17.64
PnL
+$2.27
Record
66%
124076-63863 (187939)
Invested
$2.43
Value
—
PnL
-$2.43
Record
61%
93493-58782 (152275)
Polkadot-FrogCTR<$100Invested
$20.21
Value
—
PnL
-$20.21
Record
64%
57374-32152 (89526)
Invested
$1.3
Value
—
PnL
-$1.3
Record
52%
88990-83472 (172462)
pspspsps5CTR<$100Invested
$1.84
Value
—
PnL
-$1.84
Record
46%
37743-44179 (81922)
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100Invested
$0.12
Value
—
PnL
-$0.12
Record
55%
43758-36180 (79938)
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
51%
19668-18828 (38496)
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