PolyConsensus
Back to Markets

Consensus Lost ✗

Smart money consensus was Down — but Up won instead.

Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET

Resolved Up. 55% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was wrong.

View on Polymarket
RESOLVED

💀

Lost

Consensus Traders

11

Down 55%

Total Value

$84.9

Combined PnL

-$193.64

Smart Money Signal

Down

6 of 11 top traders (55%)6 hold an outcome priced under 50%10 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity
Loading chart data…

Outcome Probabilities

Up100%
Down0%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Down6 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares496
Combined PnL-$190.23
Up5 traders
Total Value$84.9
Total Shares85
Combined PnL-$3.41
Down — 55%Up — 45%
PL
ply-pm2CTR
Down

Invested

$143.52

Value

—

PnL

-$143.52

Record

51%

6457-6156 (12613)

AA
aaa221<$100
Up

Invested

$44.51

Value

$28.66

PnL

-$15.37

Record

65%

20812-11390 (32202)

AS
asdaefef<$100
Up

Invested

$19.79

Value

$16

PnL

-$3.79

Record

66%

123993-63821 (187814)

pspspsps5CTR<$100
Down

Invested

$1.69

Value

—

PnL

-$1.69

Record

46%

37715-44132 (81847)

UN
uninformedflowwCTR<$100
Down

Invested

$28.96

Value

—

PnL

-$28.96

Record

57%

69092-52584 (121676)

BO
Bonereaper<$100
Up

Invested

$10.6

Value

$20

PnL

+$9.4

Record

66%

98373-50815 (149188)

TH
thesidehustle<$100
Up

Invested

$9.3

Value

$10

PnL

+$0.7

Record

54%

10142-8602 (18744)

DR
drfc4eybh7i8CTR<$100
Down

Invested

$8.1

Value

—

PnL

-$8.1

Record

65%

123715-66149 (189864)

AS
asidjasiodjaCTR<$100
Down

Invested

$3.26

Value

—

PnL

-$3.26

Record

61%

93423-58740 (152163)

DE
devonpoll<$100
Up

Invested

$4.59

Value

$10.24

PnL

+$5.65

Record

51%

19648-18799 (38447)

MayorMamdaniCTR<$100
Down

Invested

$4.7

Value

—

PnL

-$4.7

Record

55%

43713-36124 (79837)

Chat

Sign in with your wallet to post.

Market Info

Condition ID
0xe8d5d1bc...d8f4b0
Slug
eth-updown-5m-1793125200

Traders in this Market

PL

ply-pm2

CTR

Down — $0

-$143.52
AA

aaa221

Up — $28.66

-$15.37
AS

asdaefef

Up — $16

-$3.79

pspspsps5

CTR

Down — $0

-$1.69
UN

uninformedfloww

CTR

Down — $0

-$28.96
BO

Bonereaper

Up — $20

+$9.4
TH

thesidehustle

Up — $10

+$0.7
DR

drfc4eybh7i8

CTR

Down — $0

-$8.1
AS

asidjasiodja

CTR

Down — $0

-$3.26
DE

devonpoll

Up — $10.24

+$5.65
Trade on Polymarket