Consensus Won β
Smart money consensus was Up β and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up

Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET
Resolved Up. 75% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.
π
Won
12
Up 75%
1 arb excluded
$1.6K
-$46.61
Smart Money Signal
9 of 12 top traders (75%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed3 hold an outcome priced under 50%10 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
HO hoodquant | Upavg 99Β’ | $1.1K | $1.1K | +$11.01 | 93% 22269-1715 (23984) |
PL ply-pm2ARB<$100 | Upavg 67.1Β’ | $242.98 | $253.14 | +$10.16 | 51% 6457-6156 (12613) |
| β Up leg | Upavg 67.1Β’ | $169.89 | $253.14 | +$83.25 | |
| β Down leg | Downavg 5.5Β’ | $73.09 | β | -$73.09 | |
UN uninformedfloww | Upavg 81.5Β’ | $218.91 | $163.53 | -$55.38 | 57% 69092-52584 (121676) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Upavg 70.9Β’ | $35.77 | $50.48 | +$14.71 | 65% 20812-11390 (32202) |
BO BonereaperCTR<$100 | Downavg 28Β’ | $23.82 | β | -$23.82 | 66% 98373-50815 (149188) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Upavg 85.6Β’ | $17.4 | $20.32 | +$2.92 | 65% 123715-66149 (189864) |
TH thesidehustle<$100 | Upavg 66.5Β’ | $13.3 | $20 | +$6.7 | 54% 10142-8602 (18744) |
![]() UpandDownSyndrome<$100 | Upavg 95.5Β’ | $16.74 | $17.52 | +$0.78 | 63% 50719-29966 (80685) |
AS asidjasiodja<$100 | Upavg 85Β’ | $9.74 | $7 | -$2.74 | 61% 93423-58740 (152163) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Upavg 85.9Β’ | $5.15 | $5.12 | -$0.03 | 66% 123993-63821 (187814) |
DE devonpoll<$100 | Upavg 89Β’ | $14.24 | $6 | +$0.36 | 51% 19648-18799 (38447) |
DV dvasdkasodkCTR<$100 | Downavg 20Β’ | $1 | β | -$1 | 52% 88930-83410 (172340) |
![]() MayorMamdaniCTR<$100 | Downavg 8Β’ | $0.13 | β | -$0.13 | 55% 43713-36124 (79837) |
Invested
$1,089.99
Value
$1.1K
PnL
+$11.01
Record
93%
22269-1715 (23984)
Invested
$242.98
Value
$253.14
PnL
+$10.16
Record
51%
6457-6156 (12613)
Both legs:
Invested
$218.91
Value
$163.53
PnL
-$55.38
Record
57%
69092-52584 (121676)
Invested
$35.77
Value
$50.48
PnL
+$14.71
Record
65%
20812-11390 (32202)
Invested
$23.82
Value
β
PnL
-$23.82
Record
66%
98373-50815 (149188)
Invested
$17.4
Value
$20.32
PnL
+$2.92
Record
65%
123715-66149 (189864)
Invested
$13.3
Value
$20
PnL
+$6.7
Record
54%
10142-8602 (18744)
UpandDownSyndrome<$100Invested
$16.74
Value
$17.52
PnL
+$0.78
Record
63%
50719-29966 (80685)
Invested
$9.74
Value
$7
PnL
-$2.74
Record
61%
93423-58740 (152163)
Invested
$5.15
Value
$5.12
PnL
-$0.03
Record
66%
123993-63821 (187814)
Invested
$14.24
Value
$6
PnL
+$0.36
Record
51%
19648-18799 (38447)
Invested
$1
Value
β
PnL
-$1
Record
52%
88930-83410 (172340)
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100Invested
$0.13
Value
β
PnL
-$0.13
Record
55%
43713-36124 (79837)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
hoodquant
Up β $1.1K
ply-pm2
ARBArbitrage β excluded
uninformedfloww
Up β $163.53
aaa221
Up β $50.48
Bonereaper
CTRDown β $0
drfc4eybh7i8
Up β $20.32
thesidehustle
Up β $20

UpandDownSyndrome
Up β $17.52
asidjasiodja
Up β $7
asdaefef
Up β $5.12