Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up
Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET
Resolved Up. 44% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
18
Up 44%
1 arb excluded
$5.6K
$1.7K
Smart Money Signal
8 of 18 top traders (44%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed10 hold an outcome priced under 50%11 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
UN uninformedflowwCTR | Downavg 34.4¢ | $656.56 | — | -$656.56 | 57% 69047-52548 (121595) |
RO royalanchor02 | Upavg 41.4¢ | $1.0K | $2.5K | +$1.5K | 52% 45-41 (86) |
OX oxe78sh4w98 | Upavg 44.7¢ | $963.72 | $2.2K | +$1.2K | 53% 300-264 (564) |
PL ply-pm2ARB<$100 | Downavg 54.6¢ | $501.09 | $260.68 | -$240.42 | 51% 6435-6131 (12566) |
| └ Down leg | Downavg 54.6¢ | $340.41 | — | -$340.41 | |
| └ Up leg | Upavg 61.6¢ | $160.68 | $260.68 | +$100 | |
 Atomforge | Upavg 41.6¢ | $163.74 | $393.56 | +$229.82 | 65% 3816-2060 (5876) |
 pspspsps5CTR | Downavg 56.8¢ | $110.78 | — | -$110.78 | 46% 37702-44110 (81812) |
 MayorMamdaniCTR | Downavg 44.8¢ | $187.48 | — | -$187.48 | 55% 43689-36107 (79796) |
MO mo-moneyCTR | Downavg 63.3¢ | $179.59 | — | -$179.59 | 55% 49865-40473 (90338) |
 UpandDownSyndromeCTR<$100 | Downavg 13.2¢ | $13.54 | — | -$13.54 | 63% 50706-29951 (80657) |
TH thesidehustle<$100 | Upavg 68¢ | $79.36 | $58.43 | -$20.93 | 54% 10141-8602 (18743) |
AA aaa221CTR<$100 | Downavg 59.3¢ | $47.45 | — | -$47.45 | 65% 20770-11363 (32133) |
0X 0xdc27...afdd9a<$100 | Upavg 42.7¢ | $38.43 | $90.11 | +$51.68 | 52% 1954-1769 (3723) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Upavg 91.9¢ | $52.02 | $43.99 | -$8.03 | 65% 123689-66126 (189815) |
0X 0x50f7CTR<$100 | Downavg 8¢ | $3.12 | — | -$3.12 | 59% 61828-42766 (104594) |
AS asidjasiodjaCTR<$100 | Downavg 39¢ | $13.62 | — | -$13.62 | 61% 93399-58707 (152106) |
BO Bonereaper<$100 | Upavg 49¢ | $12.87 | $26.25 | +$13.38 | 66% 98332-50785 (149117) |
AS asdaefefCTR<$100 | Downavg 20¢ | $3.1 | — | -$3.1 | 66% 123955-63798 (187753) |
DV dvasdkasodkCTR<$100 | Downavg 20¢ | $2.64 | — | -$2.64 | 52% 88909-83368 (172277) |
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530<$100 | Upavg 40¢ | $0.66 | $1.65 | +$0.99 | 56% 57382-44326 (101708) |
Invested
$656.56
Value
—
PnL
-$656.56
Record
57%
69047-52548 (121595)
Invested
$1,042.27
Value
$2.5K
PnL
+$1.5K
Record
52%
45-41 (86)
Invested
$963.72
Value
$2.2K
PnL
+$1.2K
Record
53%
300-264 (564)
Invested
$501.09
Value
$260.68
PnL
-$240.42
Record
51%
6435-6131 (12566)
Both legs:
AtomforgeInvested
$163.74
Value
$393.56
PnL
+$229.82
Record
65%
3816-2060 (5876)
pspspsps5CTRInvested
$110.78
Value
—
PnL
-$110.78
Record
46%
37702-44110 (81812)
MayorMamdaniCTRInvested
$187.48
Value
—
PnL
-$187.48
Record
55%
43689-36107 (79796)
Invested
$179.59
Value
—
PnL
-$179.59
Record
55%
49865-40473 (90338)
UpandDownSyndromeCTR<$100Invested
$13.54
Value
—
PnL
-$13.54
Record
63%
50706-29951 (80657)
Invested
$79.36
Value
$58.43
PnL
-$20.93
Record
54%
10141-8602 (18743)
Invested
$47.45
Value
—
PnL
-$47.45
Record
65%
20770-11363 (32133)
Invested
$38.43
Value
$90.11
PnL
+$51.68
Record
52%
1954-1769 (3723)
Invested
$52.02
Value
$43.99
PnL
-$8.03
Record
65%
123689-66126 (189815)
Invested
$3.12
Value
—
PnL
-$3.12
Record
59%
61828-42766 (104594)
Invested
$13.62
Value
—
PnL
-$13.62
Record
61%
93399-58707 (152106)
Invested
$12.87
Value
$26.25
PnL
+$13.38
Record
66%
98332-50785 (149117)
Invested
$3.1
Value
—
PnL
-$3.1
Record
66%
123955-63798 (187753)
Invested
$2.64
Value
—
PnL
-$2.64
Record
52%
88909-83368 (172277)
Invested
$0.66
Value
$1.65
PnL
+$0.99
Record
56%
57382-44326 (101708)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
uninformedfloww
CTRDown — $0
royalanchor02
Up — $2.5K
oxe78sh4w98
Up — $2.2K
ply-pm2
ARBArbitrage — excluded
Atomforge
Up — $393.56
pspspsps5
CTRDown — $0
MayorMamdani
CTRDown — $0
mo-money
CTRDown — $0
UpandDownSyndrome
CTRDown — $0
thesidehustle
Up — $58.43