Consensus Won β
Smart money consensus was Down β and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down

Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET
Resolved Down. 86% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
π
Won
14
Down 92%
$805.34
$126.73
Smart Money Signal
12 of 14 top traders (86%)2 hold an outcome priced under 50%13 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PL ply-pm2 | Downavg 81Β’ | $388.5 | $458 | +$69.5 | 51% 6406-6111 (12517) |
![]() pspspsps5<$100 | Downavg 79.5Β’ | $50.98 | $64.09 | +$13.11 | 46% 37691-44086 (81777) |
HO hoodquant<$100 | Downavg 99Β’ | $54.97 | $55.53 | +$0.56 | 93% 22201-1713 (23914) |
![]() Polkadot-Frog<$100 | Downavg 81.1Β’ | $63.46 | $45 | +$2.69 | 64% 57269-32043 (89312) |
![]() MayorMamdani<$100 | Downavg 85Β’ | $29.75 | $35 | +$5.25 | 55% 43651-36077 (79728) |
UN uninformedfloww<$100 | Downavg 83Β’ | $24.9 | $30 | +$5.1 | 57% 68891-52429 (121320) |
AS asidjasiodja<$100 | Downavg 95.2Β’ | $26.65 | $28 | +$1.35 | 61% 93357-58685 (152042) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Downavg 60.8Β’ | $22.69 | $22.59 | +$14.51 | 65% 20711-11321 (32032) |
![]() G-Penis-Monster<$100 | Downavg 51Β’ | $10.92 | $20 | +$9.08 | 62% 43473-26393 (69866) |
PB PBot-6<$100 | Downavg 50Β’ | $15 | $30 | +$15 | 58% 50649-36785 (87434) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Downavg 94.3Β’ | $11.39 | $12.08 | +$0.69 | 66% 123902-63779 (187681) |
DV dvasdkasodk<$100 | Downavg 92Β’ | $4.65 | $5.05 | +$0.4 | 52% 88881-83328 (172209) |
BO BonereaperCTR<$100 | Upavg 37.5Β’ | $10.5 | β | -$10.5 | 66% 98332-50785 (149117) |
DE devonpollCTR<$100 | Upavg 21Β’ | β | β | +$0 | 51% 19610-18785 (38395) |
Invested
$388.5
Value
$458
PnL
+$69.5
Record
51%
6406-6111 (12517)
pspspsps5<$100Invested
$50.98
Value
$64.09
PnL
+$13.11
Record
46%
37691-44086 (81777)
Invested
$54.97
Value
$55.53
PnL
+$0.56
Record
93%
22201-1713 (23914)
Polkadot-Frog<$100Invested
$63.46
Value
$45
PnL
+$2.69
Record
64%
57269-32043 (89312)
MayorMamdani<$100Invested
$29.75
Value
$35
PnL
+$5.25
Record
55%
43651-36077 (79728)
Invested
$24.9
Value
$30
PnL
+$5.1
Record
57%
68891-52429 (121320)
Invested
$26.65
Value
$28
PnL
+$1.35
Record
61%
93357-58685 (152042)
Invested
$22.69
Value
$22.59
PnL
+$14.51
Record
65%
20711-11321 (32032)
G-Penis-Monster<$100Invested
$10.92
Value
$20
PnL
+$9.08
Record
62%
43473-26393 (69866)
Invested
$15
Value
$30
PnL
+$15
Record
58%
50649-36785 (87434)
Invested
$11.39
Value
$12.08
PnL
+$0.69
Record
66%
123902-63779 (187681)
Invested
$4.65
Value
$5.05
PnL
+$0.4
Record
52%
88881-83328 (172209)
Invested
$10.5
Value
β
PnL
-$10.5
Record
66%
98332-50785 (149117)
Invested
β
Value
β
PnL
+$0
Record
51%
19610-18785 (38395)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
ply-pm2
Down β $458

pspspsps5
Down β $64.09
hoodquant
Down β $55.53

Polkadot-Frog
Down β $45

MayorMamdani
Down β $35
uninformedfloww
Down β $30
asidjasiodja
Down β $28
aaa221
Down β $22.59

G-Penis-Monster
Down β $20
PBot-6
Down β $30