Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down
Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET
Resolved Down. 47% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
15
Down 47%
$627.29
-$64.44
Smart Money Signal
7 of 15 top traders (47%)8 hold an outcome priced under 50%13 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
HO hoodquant | Downavg 99¢ | $335.46 | $338.85 | +$3.39 | 93% 22201-1713 (23914) |
PL ply-pm2 | Downavg 80.5¢ | $213.85 | $200.64 | -$13.22 | 51% 6406-6111 (12517) |
UN uninformedflowwCTR<$100 | Upavg 41.9¢ | $42.55 | — | -$42.55 | 57% 68891-52429 (121320) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Downavg 99¢ | $20.4 | $20 | -$0.25 | 65% 123648-66111 (189759) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Downavg 99¢ | $14.85 | $15 | +$0.15 | 66% 123902-63779 (187681) |
 Polkadot-Frog<$100 | Downavg 82.6¢ | $14.58 | $12.8 | -$1.78 | 64% 57269-32043 (89312) |
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025<$100 | Downavg 50¢ | $10 | $20 | +$10 | 58% 59935-43752 (103687) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Downavg 62¢ | $12.4 | $20 | +$7.6 | 65% 20711-11321 (32032) |
DE devonpollCTR<$100 | Upavg 41¢ | $4.2 | — | -$4.2 | 51% 19610-18785 (38395) |
 UpandDownSyndromeCTR<$100 | Upavg 16¢ | $8.16 | — | -$8.16 | 63% 50673-29929 (80602) |
 MayorMamdaniCTR<$100 | Upavg 16.5¢ | $6.37 | — | -$6.37 | 55% 43651-36077 (79728) |
BO BonereaperCTR<$100 | Upavg 51¢ | $2.55 | — | -$2.55 | 66% 98332-50785 (149117) |
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530CTR<$100 | Upavg 4¢ | $1 | — | -$1 | 56% 57363-44319 (101682) |
AS asidjasiodjaCTR<$100 | Upavg 37.2¢ | $4.21 | — | -$4.21 | 61% 93357-58685 (152042) |
DV dvasdkasodkCTR<$100 | Upavg 24.1¢ | $1.3 | — | -$1.3 | 52% 88881-83328 (172209) |
Invested
$335.46
Value
$338.85
PnL
+$3.39
Record
93%
22201-1713 (23914)
Invested
$213.85
Value
$200.64
PnL
-$13.22
Record
51%
6406-6111 (12517)
Invested
$42.55
Value
—
PnL
-$42.55
Record
57%
68891-52429 (121320)
Invested
$20.4
Value
$20
PnL
-$0.25
Record
65%
123648-66111 (189759)
Invested
$14.85
Value
$15
PnL
+$0.15
Record
66%
123902-63779 (187681)
Polkadot-Frog<$100Invested
$14.58
Value
$12.8
PnL
-$1.78
Record
64%
57269-32043 (89312)
Invested
$10
Value
$20
PnL
+$10
Record
58%
59935-43752 (103687)
Invested
$12.4
Value
$20
PnL
+$7.6
Record
65%
20711-11321 (32032)
Invested
$4.2
Value
—
PnL
-$4.2
Record
51%
19610-18785 (38395)
UpandDownSyndromeCTR<$100Invested
$8.16
Value
—
PnL
-$8.16
Record
63%
50673-29929 (80602)
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100Invested
$6.37
Value
—
PnL
-$6.37
Record
55%
43651-36077 (79728)
Invested
$2.55
Value
—
PnL
-$2.55
Record
66%
98332-50785 (149117)
Invested
$1
Value
—
PnL
-$1
Record
56%
57363-44319 (101682)
Invested
$4.21
Value
—
PnL
-$4.21
Record
61%
93357-58685 (152042)
Invested
$1.3
Value
—
PnL
-$1.3
Record
52%
88881-83328 (172209)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
hoodquant
Down — $338.85
ply-pm2
Down — $200.64
uninformedfloww
CTRUp — $0
drfc4eybh7i8
Down — $20
asdaefef
Down — $15
Polkadot-Frog
Down — $12.8
0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025
Down — $20
aaa221
Down — $20
devonpoll
CTRUp — $0
UpandDownSyndrome
CTRUp — $0