Consensus Won β
Smart money consensus was Down β and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down

Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET
Resolved Down. 38% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
π
Won
16
Down 40%
$619.22
$102.39
Smart Money Signal
6 of 16 top traders (38%)10 hold an outcome priced under 50%13 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PL ply-pm2 | Downavg 68.6Β’ | $231.51 | $204.44 | -$27.06 | 51% 6406-6111 (12517) |
HO hoodquant | Downavg 99Β’ | $140.58 | $142 | +$1.42 | 93% 22201-1713 (23914) |
UN uninformedfloww | Downavg 27.4Β’ | $48.13 | $175.61 | +$127.48 | 57% 68891-52429 (121320) |
![]() MayorMamdaniCTR<$100 | Upavg 17.4Β’ | $11.6 | β | -$11.6 | 55% 43651-36077 (79728) |
PB PBot-6<$100 | Downavg 49Β’ | $24.04 | $49.06 | +$25.02 | 58% 50649-36785 (87434) |
![]() pspspsps5<$100 | Downavg 11Β’ | $2.93 | $26.6 | +$23.67 | 46% 37691-44086 (81777) |
![]() G-Penis-Monster<$100 | Downavg 51Β’ | $10.97 | $21.51 | +$10.54 | 62% 43473-26393 (69866) |
![]() UpandDownSyndromeCTR<$100 | Upavg 62.5Β’ | $12.8 | β | -$12.8 | 63% 50673-29929 (80602) |
AS asidjasiodjaCTR<$100 | Upavg 35.5Β’ | $6.32 | β | -$6.32 | 61% 93357-58685 (152042) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8CTR<$100 | Upavg 57.5Β’ | $11.5 | β | -$11.5 | 65% 123648-66111 (189759) |
AS asdaefefCTR<$100 | Upavg 49Β’ | $4.64 | β | -$4.64 | 66% 123902-63779 (187681) |
DV dvasdkasodkCTR<$100 | Upavg 49Β’ | $4.15 | β | -$4.15 | 52% 88881-83328 (172209) |
![]() Polkadot-FrogCTR<$100 | Upavg 60Β’ | $3 | β | -$3 | 64% 57269-32043 (89312) |
AA aaa221CTR<$100 | Upavg 81Β’ | $3.1 | β | -$3.1 | 65% 20711-11321 (32032) |
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530CTR<$100 | Upavg 69Β’ | $1.57 | β | -$1.57 | 56% 57363-44319 (101682) |
DE devonpollCTR<$100 | Up | β | β | +$0 | 51% 19610-18785 (38395) |
Invested
$231.51
Value
$204.44
PnL
-$27.06
Record
51%
6406-6111 (12517)
Invested
$140.58
Value
$142
PnL
+$1.42
Record
93%
22201-1713 (23914)
Invested
$48.13
Value
$175.61
PnL
+$127.48
Record
57%
68891-52429 (121320)
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100Invested
$11.6
Value
β
PnL
-$11.6
Record
55%
43651-36077 (79728)
Invested
$24.04
Value
$49.06
PnL
+$25.02
Record
58%
50649-36785 (87434)
pspspsps5<$100Invested
$2.93
Value
$26.6
PnL
+$23.67
Record
46%
37691-44086 (81777)
G-Penis-Monster<$100Invested
$10.97
Value
$21.51
PnL
+$10.54
Record
62%
43473-26393 (69866)
UpandDownSyndromeCTR<$100Invested
$12.8
Value
β
PnL
-$12.8
Record
63%
50673-29929 (80602)
Invested
$6.32
Value
β
PnL
-$6.32
Record
61%
93357-58685 (152042)
Invested
$11.5
Value
β
PnL
-$11.5
Record
65%
123648-66111 (189759)
Invested
$4.64
Value
β
PnL
-$4.64
Record
66%
123902-63779 (187681)
Invested
$4.15
Value
β
PnL
-$4.15
Record
52%
88881-83328 (172209)
Polkadot-FrogCTR<$100Invested
$3
Value
β
PnL
-$3
Record
64%
57269-32043 (89312)
Invested
$3.1
Value
β
PnL
-$3.1
Record
65%
20711-11321 (32032)
Invested
$1.57
Value
β
PnL
-$1.57
Record
56%
57363-44319 (101682)
Invested
β
Value
β
PnL
+$0
Record
51%
19610-18785 (38395)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
ply-pm2
Down β $204.44
hoodquant
Down β $142
uninformedfloww
Down β $175.61

MayorMamdani
CTRUp β $0
PBot-6
Down β $49.06

pspspsps5
Down β $26.6

G-Penis-Monster
Down β $21.51

UpandDownSyndrome
CTRUp β $0
asidjasiodja
CTRUp β $0
drfc4eybh7i8
CTRUp β $0