Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down
Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET
Resolved Down. 36% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
11
Down 36%
1 arb excluded
$262.94
-$3.92
Smart Money Signal
4 of 11 top traders (36%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed7 hold an outcome priced under 50%10 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
HO hoodquant | Downavg 98¢ | $145.04 | $148 | +$2.96 | 93% 22201-1713 (23914) |
UN uninformedflowwARB<$100 | Upavg 30¢ | $92.11 | $41.65 | -$50.46 | 57% 68891-52429 (121320) |
| └ Up leg | Upavg 30¢ | $56.18 | — | -$56.18 | |
| └ Down leg | Downavg 86.3¢ | $35.93 | $41.65 | +$5.72 | |
PL ply-pm2<$100 | Downavg 64.5¢ | $30.89 | $47.9 | +$17.01 | 51% 6406-6111 (12517) |
BO Bonereaper<$100 | Downavg 71¢ | $18.03 | $18 | -$0.03 | 66% 98332-50785 (149117) |
 MayorMamdaniCTR<$100 | Upavg 8.7¢ | $7.54 | — | -$7.54 | 55% 43651-36077 (79728) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8CTR<$100 | Upavg 39¢ | $7.8 | — | -$7.8 | 65% 123648-66111 (189759) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Downavg 89¢ | $6.58 | $7.39 | +$0.81 | 66% 123902-63779 (187681) |
AS asidjasiodjaCTR<$100 | Upavg 39¢ | $2.8 | — | -$2.8 | 61% 93357-58685 (152042) |
PB PBot-6CTR<$100 | Upavg 45¢ | $2.45 | — | -$2.45 | 58% 50649-36785 (87434) |
DE devonpollCTR<$100 | Upavg 13¢ | $1.3 | — | -$1.3 | 51% 19610-18785 (38395) |
 pspspsps5CTR<$100 | Upavg 1¢ | $0.72 | — | -$0.72 | 46% 37691-44086 (81777) |
AA aaa221CTR<$100 | Upavg 20¢ | $18.39 | — | -$2.06 | 65% 20711-11321 (32032) |
Invested
$145.04
Value
$148
PnL
+$2.96
Record
93%
22201-1713 (23914)
Invested
$92.11
Value
$41.65
PnL
-$50.46
Record
57%
68891-52429 (121320)
Both legs:
Invested
$30.89
Value
$47.9
PnL
+$17.01
Record
51%
6406-6111 (12517)
Invested
$18.03
Value
$18
PnL
-$0.03
Record
66%
98332-50785 (149117)
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100Invested
$7.54
Value
—
PnL
-$7.54
Record
55%
43651-36077 (79728)
Invested
$7.8
Value
—
PnL
-$7.8
Record
65%
123648-66111 (189759)
Invested
$6.58
Value
$7.39
PnL
+$0.81
Record
66%
123902-63779 (187681)
Invested
$2.8
Value
—
PnL
-$2.8
Record
61%
93357-58685 (152042)
Invested
$2.45
Value
—
PnL
-$2.45
Record
58%
50649-36785 (87434)
Invested
$1.3
Value
—
PnL
-$1.3
Record
51%
19610-18785 (38395)
pspspsps5CTR<$100Invested
$0.72
Value
—
PnL
-$0.72
Record
46%
37691-44086 (81777)
Invested
$18.39
Value
—
PnL
-$2.06
Record
65%
20711-11321 (32032)
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