Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up
Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET
Resolved Up. 91% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
11
Up 91%
1 arb excluded
$322.33
$74.15
Smart Money Signal
10 of 11 top traders (91%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed1 holds an outcome priced under 50%10 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
UN uninformedflowwARB<$100 | Downavg 30.3¢ | $116.65 | $60 | -$56.65 | 57% 68886-52428 (121314) |
| └ Down leg | Downavg 30.3¢ | $64.75 | — | -$64.75 | |
| └ Up leg | Upavg 86.5¢ | $51.9 | $60 | +$8.1 | |
PL ply-pm2 | Upavg 69.3¢ | $71.48 | $102.3 | +$30.82 | 51% 6376-6096 (12472) |
 MayorMamdani<$100 | Upavg 75.8¢ | $28.53 | $37.63 | +$9.09 | 55% 43615-36054 (79669) |
HO hoodquant<$100 | Upavg 97¢ | $22.31 | $23 | +$0.69 | 93% 22173-1710 (23883) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Upavg 76¢ | $25.6 | $18.31 | +$7.94 | 65% 20670-11287 (31957) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Upavg 71¢ | $14.2 | $20 | +$5.8 | 65% 123614-66086 (189700) |
 ohioism<$100 | Upavg 57¢ | $13.51 | $23.7 | +$10.19 | 64% 39565-22568 (62133) |
DV dvasdkasodk<$100 | Upavg 66¢ | $5.46 | $6.09 | +$0.63 | 52% 88842-83309 (172151) |
DE devonpoll<$100 | Upavg 79.4¢ | $8.05 | $10.14 | +$2.09 | 51% 19588-18771 (38359) |
AS asidjasiodja<$100 | Upavg 65.4¢ | $8.83 | $13.51 | +$4.68 | 61% 93307-58673 (151980) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Upavg 64¢ | $4.9 | $7.66 | +$2.76 | 66% 123851-63765 (187616) |
 pspspsps5CTR<$100 | Downavg 2¢ | $0.54 | — | -$0.54 | 46% 37681-44061 (81742) |
Invested
$116.65
Value
$60
PnL
-$56.65
Record
57%
68886-52428 (121314)
Both legs:
Invested
$71.48
Value
$102.3
PnL
+$30.82
Record
51%
6376-6096 (12472)
MayorMamdani<$100Invested
$28.53
Value
$37.63
PnL
+$9.09
Record
55%
43615-36054 (79669)
Invested
$22.31
Value
$23
PnL
+$0.69
Record
93%
22173-1710 (23883)
Invested
$25.6
Value
$18.31
PnL
+$7.94
Record
65%
20670-11287 (31957)
Invested
$14.2
Value
$20
PnL
+$5.8
Record
65%
123614-66086 (189700)
ohioism<$100Invested
$13.51
Value
$23.7
PnL
+$10.19
Record
64%
39565-22568 (62133)
Invested
$5.46
Value
$6.09
PnL
+$0.63
Record
52%
88842-83309 (172151)
Invested
$8.05
Value
$10.14
PnL
+$2.09
Record
51%
19588-18771 (38359)
Invested
$8.83
Value
$13.51
PnL
+$4.68
Record
61%
93307-58673 (151980)
Invested
$4.9
Value
$7.66
PnL
+$2.76
Record
66%
123851-63765 (187616)
pspspsps5CTR<$100Invested
$0.54
Value
—
PnL
-$0.54
Record
46%
37681-44061 (81742)
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