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Consensus Won ✓

Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up

Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET

Resolved Up. 50% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.

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RESOLVED

🏆

Won

Consensus Traders

10

Up 50%

1 arb excluded

Total Value

$302.43

Combined PnL

-$42.51

Smart Money Signal

Up

5 of 10 top traders (50%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed5 hold an outcome priced under 50%10 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities

Up100%
Down0%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Up5 traders
Total Value$107.88
Total Shares108
Combined PnL+$26.64
Down5 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares175
Combined PnL-$69.15
Up — 50%Down — 50%
PL
ply-pm2ARB<$100
Up

Invested

$186.49

Value

$194.56

PnL

+$8.07

Record

51%

6357-6072 (12429)

Both legs:

Up$138.5971.2¢+$55.97
Down$47.935.9¢-$47.9
AA
aaa221<$100
Up

Invested

$28.26

Value

$48.13

PnL

+$19.87

Record

65%

20619-11265 (31884)

MayorMamdaniCTR<$100
Down

Invested

$23.8

Value

—

PnL

-$23.8

Record

55%

43591-36019 (79610)

AS
asidjasiodja<$100
Up

Invested

$20.71

Value

$18.31

PnL

-$2.4

Record

61%

93280-58641 (151921)

0X
0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530CTR<$100
Down

Invested

$24.99

Value

—

PnL

-$24.99

Record

56%

57338-44297 (101635)

DR
drfc4eybh7i8<$100
Up

Invested

$15

Value

$20.27

PnL

+$5.27

Record

65%

123573-66074 (189647)

KA
Kathod-Shi-14CTR<$100
Down

Invested

$11.87

Value

—

PnL

-$11.87

Record

55%

17077-13720 (30797)

G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100
Down

Invested

$7.5

Value

—

PnL

-$7.5

Record

62%

43457-26365 (69822)

ohioism<$100
Up

Invested

$7.1

Value

$10

PnL

+$2.9

Record

64%

39555-22557 (62112)

AS
asdaefef<$100
Up

Invested

$10.16

Value

$11.16

PnL

+$1

Record

66%

123808-63743 (187551)

pspspsps5CTR<$100
Down

Invested

$0.99

Value

—

PnL

-$0.99

Record

46%

37670-44030 (81700)

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Market Info

Condition ID
0x1c06e0ed...ec4eee
Slug
eth-updown-5m-1793103000

Traders in this Market

PL

ply-pm2

ARB

Arbitrage — excluded

+$8.07
AA

aaa221

Up — $48.13

+$19.87

MayorMamdani

CTR

Down — $0

-$23.8
AS

asidjasiodja

Up — $18.31

-$2.4
0X

0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530

CTR

Down — $0

-$24.99
DR

drfc4eybh7i8

Up — $20.27

+$5.27
KA

Kathod-Shi-14

CTR

Down — $0

-$11.87

G-Penis-Monster

CTR

Down — $0

-$7.5

ohioism

Up — $10

+$2.9
AS

asdaefef

Up — $11.16

+$1
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