Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Down — but Up won instead.
Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET
Resolved Up. 50% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was wrong.
💀
Lost
8
Down 50%
$111.44
$5.9
Smart Money Signal
4 of 8 top traders (50%)4 hold an outcome priced under 50%8 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0X 0x50f7CTR<$100 | Downavg 1¢ | $1.25 | — | -$1.25 | 59% 61774-42703 (104477) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Upavg 89.5¢ | $36.07 | $40.29 | +$4.22 | 65% 20576-11237 (31813) |
PL ply-pm2<$100 | Upavg 79.3¢ | $37.72 | $47.09 | +$9.37 | 51% 6340-6042 (12382) |
HO hoodquant<$100 | Upavg 99¢ | $13.86 | $14 | +$0.14 | 93% 22133-1706 (23839) |
KA Kathod-Shi-14<$100 | Upavg 86.5¢ | $8.7 | $10.06 | +$1.36 | 55% 17045-13693 (30738) |
 pspspsps5CTR<$100 | Downavg 1¢ | $1.36 | — | -$1.36 | 46% 37659-44001 (81660) |
 MayorMamdaniCTR<$100 | Downavg 4.5¢ | $5.38 | — | -$5.38 | 55% 43574-35987 (79561) |
AS asidjasiodjaCTR<$100 | Downavg 24¢ | $1.2 | — | -$1.2 | 61% 93252-58615 (151867) |
Invested
$1.25
Value
—
PnL
-$1.25
Record
59%
61774-42703 (104477)
Invested
$36.07
Value
$40.29
PnL
+$4.22
Record
65%
20576-11237 (31813)
Invested
$37.72
Value
$47.09
PnL
+$9.37
Record
51%
6340-6042 (12382)
Invested
$13.86
Value
$14
PnL
+$0.14
Record
93%
22133-1706 (23839)
Invested
$8.7
Value
$10.06
PnL
+$1.36
Record
55%
17045-13693 (30738)
pspspsps5CTR<$100Invested
$1.36
Value
—
PnL
-$1.36
Record
46%
37659-44001 (81660)
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100Invested
$5.38
Value
—
PnL
-$5.38
Record
55%
43574-35987 (79561)
Invested
$1.2
Value
—
PnL
-$1.2
Record
61%
93252-58615 (151867)
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