Consensus Won β
Smart money consensus was Down β and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down

Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET
Resolved Down. 50% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
π
Won
10
Down 50%
$103.4
-$10.47
Smart Money Signal
5 of 10 top traders (50%)5 hold an outcome priced under 50%10 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PL ply-pm2<$100 | Downavg 72.7Β’ | $37.5 | $46.65 | +$9.14 | 51% 6340-6042 (12382) |
KA Kathod-Shi-14<$100 | Downavg 60.6Β’ | $16.65 | $27.49 | +$10.84 | 55% 17045-13693 (30738) |
AS asidjasiodja<$100 | Downavg 94Β’ | $12.22 | $13 | +$0.78 | 61% 93252-58615 (151867) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8CTR<$100 | Upavg 59Β’ | $11.8 | β | -$11.8 | 65% 123539-66052 (189591) |
AA aaa221CTR<$100 | Upavg 54Β’ | $10.8 | β | -$10.8 | 65% 20576-11237 (31813) |
HO hoodquant<$100 | Downavg 99Β’ | $8.91 | $9 | +$0.09 | 93% 22133-1706 (23839) |
DE devonpollCTR<$100 | Upavg 27Β’ | $2.9 | β | -$2.9 | 51% 19565-18744 (38309) |
![]() MayorMamdaniCTR<$100 | Upavg 3Β’ | $4.51 | β | -$4.51 | 55% 43574-35987 (79561) |
![]() pspspsps5CTR<$100 | Upavg 2Β’ | $2.77 | β | -$2.77 | 46% 37659-44001 (81660) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Downavg 80Β’ | $5.81 | $7.26 | +$1.45 | 66% 123770-63721 (187491) |
Invested
$37.5
Value
$46.65
PnL
+$9.14
Record
51%
6340-6042 (12382)
Invested
$16.65
Value
$27.49
PnL
+$10.84
Record
55%
17045-13693 (30738)
Invested
$12.22
Value
$13
PnL
+$0.78
Record
61%
93252-58615 (151867)
Invested
$11.8
Value
β
PnL
-$11.8
Record
65%
123539-66052 (189591)
Invested
$10.8
Value
β
PnL
-$10.8
Record
65%
20576-11237 (31813)
Invested
$8.91
Value
$9
PnL
+$0.09
Record
93%
22133-1706 (23839)
Invested
$2.9
Value
β
PnL
-$2.9
Record
51%
19565-18744 (38309)
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100Invested
$4.51
Value
β
PnL
-$4.51
Record
55%
43574-35987 (79561)
pspspsps5CTR<$100Invested
$2.77
Value
β
PnL
-$2.77
Record
46%
37659-44001 (81660)
Invested
$5.81
Value
$7.26
PnL
+$1.45
Record
66%
123770-63721 (187491)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
ply-pm2
Down β $46.65
Kathod-Shi-14
Down β $27.49
asidjasiodja
Down β $13
drfc4eybh7i8
CTRUp β $0
aaa221
CTRUp β $0
hoodquant
Down β $9
devonpoll
CTRUp β $0

MayorMamdani
CTRUp β $0

pspspsps5
CTRUp β $0
asdaefef
Down β $7.26