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Consensus Lost ✗

Smart money consensus was Down — but Up won instead.

Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET

Resolved Up. 73% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was wrong.

View on Polymarket
RESOLVED

💀

Lost

Consensus Traders

11

Down 73%

Total Value

$207.52

Combined PnL

-$93.34

Smart Money Signal

Down

8 of 11 top traders (73%)8 hold an outcome priced under 50%10 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity
Loading chart data…

Outcome Probabilities

Up100%
Down0%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Down8 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares840
Combined PnL-$250.73
Up3 traders
Total Value$207.52
Total Shares208
Combined PnL+$157.38
Down — 73%Up — 27%
PL
ply-pm2CTR<$100
Down

Invested

$95.93

Value

—

PnL

-$95.93

Record

51%

6340-6042 (12382)

DV
dvasdkasodkCTR<$100
Down

Invested

$3.59

Value

—

PnL

-$3.59

Record

52%

88790-83234 (172024)

AS
asidjasiodjaCTR<$100
Down

Invested

$11.1

Value

—

PnL

-$11.1

Record

61%

93252-58615 (151867)

0X
0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530CTR<$100
Down

Invested

$40.23

Value

—

PnL

-$40.23

Record

56%

57324-44290 (101614)

ohioismCTR<$100
Down

Invested

$40.06

Value

—

PnL

-$40.06

Record

64%

39543-22552 (62095)

MayorMamdani<$100
Up

Invested

$14.93

Value

$92.57

PnL

+$77.64

Record

55%

43574-35987 (79561)

AA
aaa221CTR<$100
Down

Invested

$25.13

Value

—

PnL

-$25.13

Record

65%

20576-11237 (31813)

KA
Kathod-Shi-14
Up

Invested

$33.35

Value

$109.94

PnL

+$76.59

Record

55%

17045-13693 (30738)

DR
drfc4eybh7i8CTR<$100
Down

Invested

$22.73

Value

—

PnL

-$22.73

Record

65%

123539-66052 (189591)

0X
0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518CTR<$100
Down

Invested

$11.96

Value

—

PnL

-$11.96

Record

58%

37196-26405 (63601)

DE
devonpoll<$100
Up

Invested

$1.85

Value

$5

PnL

+$3.15

Record

51%

19565-18744 (38309)

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Market Info

Condition ID
0x960775e7...ee6338
Slug
eth-updown-5m-1793100900

Traders in this Market

PL

ply-pm2

CTR

Down — $0

-$95.93
DV

dvasdkasodk

CTR

Down — $0

-$3.59
AS

asidjasiodja

CTR

Down — $0

-$11.1
0X

0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530

CTR

Down — $0

-$40.23

ohioism

CTR

Down — $0

-$40.06

MayorMamdani

Up — $92.57

+$77.64
AA

aaa221

CTR

Down — $0

-$25.13
KA

Kathod-Shi-14

Up — $109.94

+$76.59
DR

drfc4eybh7i8

CTR

Down — $0

-$22.73
0X

0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518

CTR

Down — $0

-$11.96
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