Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down
Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET
Resolved Down. 54% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
13
Down 58%
1 arb excluded
$796.39
-$14.69
Smart Money Signal
7 of 13 top traders (54%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed6 hold an outcome priced under 50%12 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
HO hoodquant | Downavg 99¢ | $381.61 | $385.46 | +$3.85 | 93% 22133-1706 (23839) |
PL ply-pm2ARB<$100 | Downavg 70.5¢ | $230.47 | $237.52 | +$7.05 | 51% 6340-6042 (12382) |
| └ Down leg | Downavg 70.5¢ | $167.45 | $237.52 | +$70.07 | |
| └ Up leg | Upavg 53.9¢ | $63.02 | — | -$63.02 | |
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518<$100 | Downavg 33.7¢ | $22.56 | $37.04 | +$14.48 | 58% 37196-26405 (63601) |
 BoneOhioCTR<$100 | Upavg 81¢ | $33.25 | — | -$33.25 | 74% 101900-36253 (138153) |
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530<$100 | Downavg 60.8¢ | $24.91 | $41 | +$16.09 | 56% 57324-44290 (101614) |
 ohioismCTR<$100 | Upavg 35¢ | $18.06 | — | -$18.06 | 64% 39543-22552 (62095) |
 G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100 | Upavg 35¢ | $17.56 | — | -$17.56 | 62% 43453-26357 (69810) |
KA Kathod-Shi-14<$100 | Downavg 54.2¢ | $19.5 | $35.97 | +$16.47 | 55% 17045-13693 (30738) |
 MayorMamdani<$100 | Downavg 47.4¢ | $16.91 | $35.71 | +$18.8 | 55% 43574-35987 (79561) |
AA aaa221CTR<$100 | Upavg 55¢ | $10.49 | — | -$10.49 | 65% 20576-11237 (31813) |
AS asidjasiodja<$100 | Downavg 45.6¢ | $7.96 | $13.39 | +$5.43 | 61% 93252-58615 (151867) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8CTR<$100 | Upavg 83¢ | $12.45 | — | -$12.45 | 65% 123539-66052 (189591) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Downavg 51.9¢ | $8.3 | $10.3 | +$2 | 66% 123770-63721 (187491) |
DE devonpollCTR<$100 | Up | — | — | +$0 | 51% 19565-18744 (38309) |
Invested
$381.61
Value
$385.46
PnL
+$3.85
Record
93%
22133-1706 (23839)
Invested
$230.47
Value
$237.52
PnL
+$7.05
Record
51%
6340-6042 (12382)
Both legs:
Invested
$22.56
Value
$37.04
PnL
+$14.48
Record
58%
37196-26405 (63601)
BoneOhioCTR<$100Invested
$33.25
Value
—
PnL
-$33.25
Record
74%
101900-36253 (138153)
Invested
$24.91
Value
$41
PnL
+$16.09
Record
56%
57324-44290 (101614)
ohioismCTR<$100Invested
$18.06
Value
—
PnL
-$18.06
Record
64%
39543-22552 (62095)
G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100Invested
$17.56
Value
—
PnL
-$17.56
Record
62%
43453-26357 (69810)
Invested
$19.5
Value
$35.97
PnL
+$16.47
Record
55%
17045-13693 (30738)
MayorMamdani<$100Invested
$16.91
Value
$35.71
PnL
+$18.8
Record
55%
43574-35987 (79561)
Invested
$10.49
Value
—
PnL
-$10.49
Record
65%
20576-11237 (31813)
Invested
$7.96
Value
$13.39
PnL
+$5.43
Record
61%
93252-58615 (151867)
Invested
$12.45
Value
—
PnL
-$12.45
Record
65%
123539-66052 (189591)
Invested
$8.3
Value
$10.3
PnL
+$2
Record
66%
123770-63721 (187491)
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
51%
19565-18744 (38309)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
hoodquant
Down — $385.46
ply-pm2
ARBArbitrage — excluded
0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518
Down — $37.04
BoneOhio
CTRUp — $0
0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530
Down — $41
ohioism
CTRUp — $0
G-Penis-Monster
CTRUp — $0
Kathod-Shi-14
Down — $35.97
MayorMamdani
Down — $35.71
aaa221
CTRUp — $0