Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up
Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET
Resolved Up. 69% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
13
Up 69%
1 arb excluded
$549.62
-$2.31
Smart Money Signal
9 of 13 top traders (69%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed4 hold an outcome priced under 50%12 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
HO hoodquant | Upavg 99¢ | $291.06 | $294 | +$2.94 | 93% 22091-1705 (23796) |
PL ply-pm2ARB<$100 | Upavg 60¢ | $75.31 | $71.64 | -$3.67 | 51% 6312-5995 (12307) |
| └ Up leg | Upavg 60¢ | $43.01 | $71.64 | +$28.63 | |
| └ Down leg | Downavg 64.3¢ | $32.3 | — | -$32.3 | |
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609<$100 | Upavg 74.3¢ | $52.46 | $51 | -$1.46 | 68% 98347-46616 (144963) |
KA Kathod-Shi-14<$100 | Upavg 61.3¢ | $36.2 | $47.36 | +$11.16 | 55% 16996-13641 (30637) |
0X 0x50f7CTR<$100 | Downavg 2.9¢ | $4.06 | — | -$4.06 | 59% 61765-42673 (104438) |
DV dvasdkasodk<$100 | Upavg 99¢ | $19.89 | $19 | -$0.89 | 52% 88749-83182 (171931) |
AS asidjasiodja<$100 | Upavg 98.3¢ | $18.67 | $19 | +$0.33 | 61% 93204-58582 (151786) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Upavg 89¢ | $17.8 | $20 | +$2.2 | 65% 123475-66020 (189495) |
TH thesidehustle<$100 | Upavg 97¢ | $16.1 | $10 | -$6.1 | 54% 10027-8513 (18540) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Upavg 78¢ | $9.84 | $12.62 | +$2.78 | 66% 123706-63693 (187399) |
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530<$100 | Upavg 89¢ | $4.45 | $5 | +$0.55 | 56% 57299-44283 (101582) |
 pspspsps5CTR<$100 | Downavg 1¢ | $0.7 | — | -$0.7 | 46% 37642-43970 (81612) |
 MayorMamdaniCTR<$100 | Downavg 6¢ | $0.36 | — | -$0.36 | 55% 43523-35934 (79457) |
AA aaa221CTR<$100 | Downavg 63¢ | $23.9 | — | -$8.69 | 65% 20472-11181 (31653) |
Invested
$291.06
Value
$294
PnL
+$2.94
Record
93%
22091-1705 (23796)
Invested
$75.31
Value
$71.64
PnL
-$3.67
Record
51%
6312-5995 (12307)
Both legs:
Invested
$52.46
Value
$51
PnL
-$1.46
Record
68%
98347-46616 (144963)
Invested
$36.2
Value
$47.36
PnL
+$11.16
Record
55%
16996-13641 (30637)
Invested
$4.06
Value
—
PnL
-$4.06
Record
59%
61765-42673 (104438)
Invested
$19.89
Value
$19
PnL
-$0.89
Record
52%
88749-83182 (171931)
Invested
$18.67
Value
$19
PnL
+$0.33
Record
61%
93204-58582 (151786)
Invested
$17.8
Value
$20
PnL
+$2.2
Record
65%
123475-66020 (189495)
Invested
$16.1
Value
$10
PnL
-$6.1
Record
54%
10027-8513 (18540)
Invested
$9.84
Value
$12.62
PnL
+$2.78
Record
66%
123706-63693 (187399)
Invested
$4.45
Value
$5
PnL
+$0.55
Record
56%
57299-44283 (101582)
pspspsps5CTR<$100Invested
$0.7
Value
—
PnL
-$0.7
Record
46%
37642-43970 (81612)
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100Invested
$0.36
Value
—
PnL
-$0.36
Record
55%
43523-35934 (79457)
Invested
$23.9
Value
—
PnL
-$8.69
Record
65%
20472-11181 (31653)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
hoodquant
Up — $294
ply-pm2
ARBArbitrage — excluded
0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609
Up — $51
Kathod-Shi-14
Up — $47.36
0x50f7
CTRDown — $0
dvasdkasodk
Up — $19
asidjasiodja
Up — $19
drfc4eybh7i8
Up — $20
thesidehustle
Up — $10
asdaefef
Up — $12.62