Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down
Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET
Resolved Down. 86% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
7
Down 86%
1 arb excluded
$466.31
$6.25
Smart Money Signal
6 of 7 top traders (86%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed1 holds an outcome priced under 50%6 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
HO hoodquant | Downavg 99¢ | $198 | $200 | +$2 | 93% 22091-1705 (23796) |
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609ARB<$100 | Downavg 76.3¢ | $52.94 | $67.15 | +$14.21 | 68% 98347-46616 (144963) |
| └ Down leg | Downavg 76.3¢ | $51.24 | $67.15 | +$15.91 | |
| └ Up leg | Upavg 2.8¢ | $1.7 | — | -$1.7 | |
PL ply-pm2<$100 | Downavg 90¢ | $64.38 | $62 | -$2.38 | 51% 6312-5995 (12307) |
 pspspsps5<$100 | Downavg 96.6¢ | $89.97 | $93.09 | +$3.12 | 46% 37642-43970 (81612) |
0X 0x50f7CTR<$100 | Upavg 2¢ | $1.23 | — | -$1.23 | 59% 61765-42673 (104438) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Downavg 80¢ | $16 | $20 | +$4 | 65% 123475-66020 (189495) |
AS asidjasiodja<$100 | Downavg 97.3¢ | $16.54 | $17 | +$0.46 | 61% 93204-58582 (151786) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Downavg 96¢ | $6.79 | $7.07 | +$0.28 | 66% 123706-63693 (187399) |
Invested
$198
Value
$200
PnL
+$2
Record
93%
22091-1705 (23796)
Invested
$52.94
Value
$67.15
PnL
+$14.21
Record
68%
98347-46616 (144963)
Both legs:
Invested
$64.38
Value
$62
PnL
-$2.38
Record
51%
6312-5995 (12307)
pspspsps5<$100Invested
$89.97
Value
$93.09
PnL
+$3.12
Record
46%
37642-43970 (81612)
Invested
$1.23
Value
—
PnL
-$1.23
Record
59%
61765-42673 (104438)
Invested
$16
Value
$20
PnL
+$4
Record
65%
123475-66020 (189495)
Invested
$16.54
Value
$17
PnL
+$0.46
Record
61%
93204-58582 (151786)
Invested
$6.79
Value
$7.07
PnL
+$0.28
Record
66%
123706-63693 (187399)
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