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Consensus Won ✓

Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up

Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET

Resolved Up. 54% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.

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RESOLVED

🏆

Won

Consensus Traders

13

Up 54%

1 arb excluded

Total Value

$280.03

Combined PnL

-$81.42

Smart Money Signal

Up

7 of 13 top traders (54%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed6 hold an outcome priced under 50%13 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities

Up100%
Down0%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Down6 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares150
Combined PnL-$134.04
Up7 traders
Total Value$158.41
Total Shares158
Combined PnL+$52.62
Down — 46%Up — 54%
PL
ply-pm2ARB<$100
Down

Invested

$123.49

Value

$121.61

PnL

-$1.88

Record

51%

6312-5995 (12307)

Both legs:

Down$93.7253.5¢-$93.72
Up$29.7824.5¢+$91.83
0X
0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609CTR<$100
Down

Invested

$58.35

Value

—

PnL

-$58.35

Record

68%

98347-46616 (144963)

0X
0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530CTR<$100
Down

Invested

$37.56

Value

—

PnL

-$37.56

Record

56%

57299-44283 (101582)

AA
aaa221<$100
Up

Invested

$40.83

Value

$40

PnL

-$0.83

Record

65%

20472-11181 (31653)

ohioism<$100
Up

Invested

$44.86

Value

$65.25

PnL

+$20.4

Record

64%

39528-22542 (62070)

TH
thesidehustleCTR<$100
Down

Invested

$13.65

Value

—

PnL

-$13.65

Record

54%

10027-8513 (18540)

AS
asidjasiodjaCTR<$100
Down

Invested

$17.35

Value

—

PnL

-$17.35

Record

61%

93204-58582 (151786)

MayorMamdani<$100
Up

Invested

$5.55

Value

$15.07

PnL

+$9.52

Record

55%

43523-35934 (79457)

AS
asdaefefCTR<$100
Down

Invested

$6.88

Value

—

PnL

-$6.88

Record

66%

123706-63693 (187399)

DR
drfc4eybh7i8<$100
Up

Invested

$8.4

Value

$20

PnL

+$11.6

Record

65%

123475-66020 (189495)

KA
Kathod-Shi-14<$100
Up

Invested

$6.15

Value

$10.33

PnL

+$4.18

Record

55%

16996-13641 (30637)

0X
0x50f7CTR<$100
Down

Invested

$0.26

Value

—

PnL

-$0.26

Record

59%

61765-42673 (104438)

DV
dvasdkasodk<$100
Up

Invested

$1.5

Value

$5.77

PnL

+$4.27

Record

52%

88749-83182 (171931)

DE
devonpoll<$100
Up

Invested

$0.91

Value

$2

PnL

+$3.49

Record

51%

19546-18734 (38280)

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Market Info

Condition ID
0x6afa78cb...caa84f
Slug
eth-updown-5m-1793090100

Traders in this Market

PL

ply-pm2

ARB

Arbitrage — excluded

-$1.88
0X

0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609

CTR

Down — $0

-$58.35
0X

0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530

CTR

Down — $0

-$37.56
AA

aaa221

Up — $40

-$0.83

ohioism

Up — $65.25

+$20.4
TH

thesidehustle

CTR

Down — $0

-$13.65
AS

asidjasiodja

CTR

Down — $0

-$17.35

MayorMamdani

Up — $15.07

+$9.52
AS

asdaefef

CTR

Down — $0

-$6.88
DR

drfc4eybh7i8

Up — $20

+$11.6
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