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Consensus Lost ✗

Smart money consensus was Up — but Down won instead.

Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET

Resolved Down. 53% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was wrong.

View on Polymarket
RESOLVED

💀

Lost

Consensus Traders

15

Up 53%

Total Value

$264.05

Combined PnL

-$307.12

Smart Money Signal

Up

8 of 15 top traders (53%)8 hold an outcome priced under 50%14 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity
Loading chart data…

Outcome Probabilities

Up0%
Down100%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Up8 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares495
Combined PnL-$394.77
Down7 traders
Total Value$264.05
Total Shares264
Combined PnL+$87.65
Up — 53%Down — 47%
0X
0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609CTR
Up

Invested

$121.7

Value

—

PnL

-$121.7

Record

68%

98347-46616 (144963)

PL
ply-pm2CTR<$100
Up

Invested

$95.39

Value

—

PnL

-$95.39

Record

51%

6312-5995 (12307)

AN
antsaslykuCTR<$100
Up

Invested

$40.67

Value

—

PnL

-$40.67

Record

66%

111093-57313 (168406)

AA
aaa221CTR<$100
Up

Invested

$29.9

Value

—

PnL

-$29.9

Record

65%

20472-11181 (31653)

TH
thesidehustleCTR<$100
Up

Invested

$38.16

Value

—

PnL

-$38.16

Record

54%

10027-8513 (18540)

UpandDownSyndromeCTR<$100
Up

Invested

$27.17

Value

—

PnL

-$27.17

Record

63%

50564-29870 (80434)

MayorMamdaniCTR<$100
Up

Invested

$25.68

Value

—

PnL

-$25.68

Record

55%

43523-35934 (79457)

AS
asdaefef<$100
Down

Invested

$27.8

Value

$26.17

PnL

-$1.63

Record

66%

123706-63693 (187399)

DV
dvasdkasodk<$100
Down

Invested

$1.05

Value

$85.05

PnL

+$84

Record

52%

88749-83182 (171931)

AS
asidjasiodja<$100
Down

Invested

$25.3

Value

$25.95

PnL

+$0.65

Record

61%

93204-58582 (151786)

DR
drfc4eybh7i8<$100
Down

Invested

$29.49

Value

$26.33

PnL

-$3.16

Record

65%

123475-66020 (189495)

DE
devonpollCTR<$100
Up

Invested

$24.5

Value

—

PnL

-$16.1

Record

51%

19546-18734 (38280)

0X
0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530<$100
Down

Invested

$46.27

Value

$50.29

PnL

+$4.02

Record

56%

57299-44283 (101582)

BoneOhio<$100
Down

Invested

$23.42

Value

$25.18

PnL

+$1.76

Record

74%

101887-36252 (138139)

G-Penis-Monster<$100
Down

Invested

$23.07

Value

$25.08

PnL

+$2.01

Record

62%

43445-26347 (69792)

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Market Info

Condition ID
0xa8261e0c...b41c5b
Slug
eth-updown-5m-1793089800

Traders in this Market

0X

0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609

CTR

Up — $0

-$121.7
PL

ply-pm2

CTR

Up — $0

-$95.39
AN

antsaslyku

CTR

Up — $0

-$40.67
AA

aaa221

CTR

Up — $0

-$29.9
TH

thesidehustle

CTR

Up — $0

-$38.16

UpandDownSyndrome

CTR

Up — $0

-$27.17

MayorMamdani

CTR

Up — $0

-$25.68
AS

asdaefef

Down — $26.17

-$1.63
DV

dvasdkasodk

Down — $85.05

+$84
AS

asidjasiodja

Down — $25.95

+$0.65
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