Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down
Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET
Resolved Down. 67% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
12
Down 73%
$228.67
$3.12
Smart Money Signal
8 of 12 top traders (67%)4 hold an outcome priced under 50%12 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
HO hoodquant<$100 | Downavg 99¢ | $77.22 | $78 | +$0.78 | 93% 22091-1705 (23796) |
KA Kathod-Shi-14<$100 | Downavg 65.7¢ | $43.8 | $42.79 | -$1.01 | 55% 16996-13641 (30637) |
PL ply-pm2<$100 | Downavg 71.6¢ | $29.01 | $26.29 | -$2.72 | 51% 6312-5995 (12307) |
AS asidjasiodja<$100 | Downavg 93.5¢ | $24.42 | $21.15 | -$3.27 | 61% 93204-58582 (151786) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Downavg 79.4¢ | $16.05 | $16.35 | +$0.3 | 66% 123706-63693 (187399) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Downavg 57.1¢ | $21.34 | $15.2 | +$8.88 | 65% 20472-11181 (31653) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Downavg 80¢ | $12 | $15 | +$3 | 65% 123475-66020 (189495) |
 ohioism<$100 | Downavg 80¢ | $11.1 | $13.88 | +$2.78 | 64% 39528-22542 (62070) |
TH thesidehustleCTR<$100 | Upavg 53¢ | $2.65 | — | -$2.65 | 54% 10027-8513 (18540) |
 Polkadot-FrogCTR<$100 | Upavg 38¢ | $1.9 | — | -$1.9 | 64% 57210-31996 (89206) |
 MayorMamdaniCTR<$100 | Upavg 4.8¢ | $1.07 | — | -$1.07 | 55% 43523-35934 (79457) |
DE devonpollCTR<$100 | Upavg 45¢ | — | — | +$0 | 51% 19546-18734 (38280) |
Invested
$77.22
Value
$78
PnL
+$0.78
Record
93%
22091-1705 (23796)
Invested
$43.8
Value
$42.79
PnL
-$1.01
Record
55%
16996-13641 (30637)
Invested
$29.01
Value
$26.29
PnL
-$2.72
Record
51%
6312-5995 (12307)
Invested
$24.42
Value
$21.15
PnL
-$3.27
Record
61%
93204-58582 (151786)
Invested
$16.05
Value
$16.35
PnL
+$0.3
Record
66%
123706-63693 (187399)
Invested
$21.34
Value
$15.2
PnL
+$8.88
Record
65%
20472-11181 (31653)
Invested
$12
Value
$15
PnL
+$3
Record
65%
123475-66020 (189495)
ohioism<$100Invested
$11.1
Value
$13.88
PnL
+$2.78
Record
64%
39528-22542 (62070)
Invested
$2.65
Value
—
PnL
-$2.65
Record
54%
10027-8513 (18540)
Polkadot-FrogCTR<$100Invested
$1.9
Value
—
PnL
-$1.9
Record
64%
57210-31996 (89206)
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100Invested
$1.07
Value
—
PnL
-$1.07
Record
55%
43523-35934 (79457)
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
51%
19546-18734 (38280)
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