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Consensus Lost ✗

Smart money consensus was Up — but Down won instead.

Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET

Resolved Down. 56% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was wrong.

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RESOLVED

💀

Lost

Consensus Traders

9

Up 56%

Total Value

$309.32

Combined PnL

$11.31

Smart Money Signal

Up

5 of 9 top traders (56%)5 hold an outcome priced under 50%7 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities

Up0%
Down100%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Down4 traders
Total Value$309.32
Total Shares309
Combined PnL+$34.53
Up5 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares64
Combined PnL-$23.22
Down — 44%Up — 56%
0X
0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609
Down

Invested

$111.24

Value

$112.52

PnL

+$1.28

Record

68%

98276-46564 (144840)

PL
ply-pm2
Down

Invested

$105.3

Value

$108.72

PnL

+$3.41

Record

51%

6275-5953 (12228)

KA
Kathod-Shi-14<$100
Down

Invested

$45.64

Value

$63.44

PnL

+$17.8

Record

55%

16944-13598 (30542)

0X
0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518<$100
Down

Invested

$12.61

Value

$24.64

PnL

+$12.03

Record

59%

37148-26345 (63493)

TH
thesidehustleCTR<$100
Up

Invested

$16.35

Value

—

PnL

-$16.35

Record

54%

9990-8484 (18474)

G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100
Up

Invested

$3.3

Value

—

PnL

-$3.3

Record

62%

43440-26338 (69778)

AS
asidjasiodjaCTR<$100
Up

Invested

$1.44

Value

—

PnL

-$1.44

Record

61%

93036-58467 (151503)

AS
asdaefefCTR<$100
Up

Invested

$1.25

Value

—

PnL

-$1.25

Record

66%

123643-63650 (187293)

0X
0x50f7CTR<$100
Up

Invested

$0.88

Value

—

PnL

-$0.88

Record

59%

61746-42646 (104392)

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Market Info

Condition ID
0x377722a0...2f248a
Slug
eth-updown-5m-1793081400

Traders in this Market

0X

0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609

Down — $112.52

+$1.28
PL

ply-pm2

Down — $108.72

+$3.41
KA

Kathod-Shi-14

Down — $63.44

+$17.8
0X

0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518

Down — $24.64

+$12.03
TH

thesidehustle

CTR

Up — $0

-$16.35

G-Penis-Monster

CTR

Up — $0

-$3.3
AS

asidjasiodja

CTR

Up — $0

-$1.44
AS

asdaefef

CTR

Up — $0

-$1.25
0X

0x50f7

CTR

Up — $0

-$0.88
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