Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up
Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET
Resolved Up. 73% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
15
Up 73%
1 arb excluded
$1.0K
-$44.02
Smart Money Signal
11 of 15 top traders (73%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed4 hold an outcome priced under 50%13 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PL ply-pm2ARB<$100 | Upavg 64.8¢ | $254.09 | $248.4 | -$5.68 | 51% 6275-5953 (12228) |
| └ Up leg | Upavg 64.8¢ | $160.89 | $248.4 | +$87.51 | |
| └ Down leg | Downavg 33.5¢ | $93.2 | — | -$93.2 | |
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609 | Upavg 64¢ | $270.65 | $249.73 | -$20.92 | 68% 98276-46564 (144840) |
HO hoodquant | Upavg 99¢ | $237.48 | $239.88 | +$2.4 | 93% 22055-1704 (23759) |
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025<$100 | Upavg 99¢ | $49.58 | $50.08 | +$0.5 | 58% 59871-43705 (103576) |
 BoneOhio<$100 | Upavg 90¢ | $38.3 | $40 | +$1.7 | 74% 101865-36250 (138115) |
KA Kathod-Shi-14CTR<$100 | Downavg 47.6¢ | $41.1 | — | -$41.1 | 55% 16944-13598 (30542) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Upavg 35¢ | $17.32 | $32 | +$14.68 | 65% 123417-65985 (189402) |
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530<$100 | Upavg 63¢ | $31.55 | $50.08 | +$18.53 | 56% 57277-44272 (101549) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Upavg 23.6¢ | $8.44 | $35.81 | +$27.37 | 65% 20395-11132 (31527) |
 MayorMamdani<$100 | Upavg 48.9¢ | $16.74 | $34.27 | +$17.53 | 55% 43472-35889 (79361) |
AN antsaslykuCTR<$100 | Downavg 55.6¢ | $21.2 | — | -$21.2 | 66% 111044-57268 (168312) |
 ohioismCTR<$100 | Downavg 67.4¢ | $33.7 | — | -$33.7 | 64% 39513-22533 (62046) |
AS asidjasiodjaCTR<$100 | Downavg 75¢ | $23.57 | — | -$23.57 | 61% 93036-58467 (151503) |
TH thesidehustle<$100 | Upavg 57.9¢ | $10.25 | $17.7 | +$7.45 | 54% 9990-8484 (18474) |
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518<$100 | Upavg 50¢ | $10 | $20 | +$10 | 59% 37148-26345 (63493) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Upavg 97¢ | $10.69 | $7 | -$3.69 | 66% 123643-63650 (187293) |
Invested
$254.09
Value
$248.4
PnL
-$5.68
Record
51%
6275-5953 (12228)
Both legs:
Invested
$270.65
Value
$249.73
PnL
-$20.92
Record
68%
98276-46564 (144840)
Invested
$237.48
Value
$239.88
PnL
+$2.4
Record
93%
22055-1704 (23759)
Invested
$49.58
Value
$50.08
PnL
+$0.5
Record
58%
59871-43705 (103576)
BoneOhio<$100Invested
$38.3
Value
$40
PnL
+$1.7
Record
74%
101865-36250 (138115)
Invested
$41.1
Value
—
PnL
-$41.1
Record
55%
16944-13598 (30542)
Invested
$17.32
Value
$32
PnL
+$14.68
Record
65%
123417-65985 (189402)
Invested
$31.55
Value
$50.08
PnL
+$18.53
Record
56%
57277-44272 (101549)
Invested
$8.44
Value
$35.81
PnL
+$27.37
Record
65%
20395-11132 (31527)
MayorMamdani<$100Invested
$16.74
Value
$34.27
PnL
+$17.53
Record
55%
43472-35889 (79361)
Invested
$21.2
Value
—
PnL
-$21.2
Record
66%
111044-57268 (168312)
ohioismCTR<$100Invested
$33.7
Value
—
PnL
-$33.7
Record
64%
39513-22533 (62046)
Invested
$23.57
Value
—
PnL
-$23.57
Record
61%
93036-58467 (151503)
Invested
$10.25
Value
$17.7
PnL
+$7.45
Record
54%
9990-8484 (18474)
Invested
$10
Value
$20
PnL
+$10
Record
59%
37148-26345 (63493)
Invested
$10.69
Value
$7
PnL
-$3.69
Record
66%
123643-63650 (187293)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
ply-pm2
ARBArbitrage — excluded
0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609
Up — $249.73
hoodquant
Up — $239.88
0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025
Up — $50.08
BoneOhio
Up — $40
Kathod-Shi-14
CTRDown — $0
drfc4eybh7i8
Up — $32
0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530
Up — $50.08
aaa221
Up — $35.81
MayorMamdani
Up — $34.27