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UpUpDownDownUp Trade on Polymarket
Consensus Won β
Smart money consensus was Down β and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down

Ethereum Up or Down - November 14, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET
Resolved Down. 67% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
RESOLVED
π
Won
Consensus Traders
3
Down 100%
2 arb excluded
Total Value
$1.9K
Combined PnL
$240.77
Smart Money Signal
Down
2 of 3 top traders (67%)2 arbitrage traders dimmed1 holds an outcome priced under 50%1 small position dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
Loading chart dataβ¦
Outcome Probabilities
Up0%
Down100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Down2 traders
Total Value$255.13
Total Shares255
Combined PnL+$227.97
Up1 trader
Total Value$0
Total Shares0
Combined PnL+$12.8
Down β 67%Up β 33%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609ARB<$100 | Upavg 68Β’ | $1.5K | $1.1K | -$358.27 | 51% 2914-2831 (5745) |
| β Up leg | Upavg 68Β’ | $906.85 | β | -$906.85 | |
| β Down leg | Downavg 50.3Β’ | $555.96 | $1.1K | +$548.58 | |
BY ByteBadger92ARB<$100 | Upavg 50Β’ | $500 | $500 | +$0 | 55% 3173-2646 (5819) |
| β Up leg | Upavg 50Β’ | $250 | β | -$250 | |
| β Down leg | Downavg 50Β’ | $250 | $500 | +$250 | |
AN Anon455 | Downavg 28.7Β’ | $46 | $160 | +$114 | 49% 414-425 (839) |
0X 0xe3EeB127d5763a6E4aD597f773F9d259C94d5176-1780742904507 | Downavg 49.4Β’ | $146.37 | $95.13 | +$113.97 | 44% 48-61 (109) |
SU suntoriCTR<$100 | Upavg 50.5Β’ | $24.27 | β | +$12.8 | 46% 2530-3008 (5538) |
0X
0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609ARB<$100Invested
$1,462.82
Value
$1.1K
PnL
-$358.27
Record
51%
2914-2831 (5745)
Both legs:
Up$906.8568Β’-$906.85
Down$555.9650.3Β’+$548.58
BY
ByteBadger92ARB<$100Invested
$500
Value
$500
PnL
+$0
Record
55%
3173-2646 (5819)
Both legs:
Up$25050Β’-$250
Down$25050Β’+$250
AN
Anon455Invested
$46
Value
$160
PnL
+$114
Record
49%
414-425 (839)
0X
0xe3EeB127d5763a6E4aD597f773F9d259C94d5176-1780742904507Invested
$146.37
Value
$95.13
PnL
+$113.97
Record
44%
48-61 (109)
SU
suntoriCTR<$100Invested
$24.27
Value
β
PnL
+$12.8
Record
46%
2530-3008 (5538)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x4f2da1bd...def95f
Slug
eth-updown-4h-1794632400