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Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up
Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET
Resolved Up. 67% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.
RESOLVED
🏆
Won
Consensus Traders
3
Up 67%
2 arb excluded
Total Value
$1.6K
Combined PnL
$78.51
Smart Money Signal
Up
2 of 3 top traders (67%)2 arbitrage traders dimmed1 holds an outcome priced under 50%2 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Up100%
Down0%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Up2 traders
Total Value$157.69
Total Shares158
Combined PnL+$87.8
Down1 trader
Total Value$0
Total Shares14
Combined PnL-$9.29
Up — 67%Down — 33%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609ARB<$100 | Downavg 69.1¢ | $1.2K | $1.3K | +$92.75 | 68% 98724-47025 (145749) |
| └ Up leg | Upavg 45¢ | $563.16 | $1.3K | +$688.75 | |
| └ Down leg | Downavg 69.1¢ | $596 | — | -$596 | |
PL ply-pm2ARB<$100 | Downavg 38.4¢ | $185.65 | $234.34 | +$48.69 | 51% 6701-6393 (13094) |
| └ Down leg | Downavg 38.4¢ | $133.14 | — | -$133.14 | |
| └ Up leg | Upavg 22.4¢ | $52.52 | $234.34 | +$181.82 | |
justdance | Upavg 31.5¢ | $40.19 | $127.69 | +$87.5 | 51% 2685-2533 (5218) |
HO hoodquant<$100 | Upavg 99¢ | $29.7 | $30 | +$0.3 | 93% 22483-1729 (24212) |
AN Anon455CTR<$100 | Downavg 65¢ | $9.29 | — | -$9.29 | 56% 2615-2073 (4688) |
0X
0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609ARB<$100Invested
$1,159.16
Value
$1.3K
PnL
+$92.75
Record
68%
98724-47025 (145749)
Both legs:
Up$563.1645¢+$688.75
Down$59669.1¢-$596
PL
ply-pm2ARB<$100Invested
$185.65
Value
$234.34
PnL
+$48.69
Record
51%
6701-6393 (13094)
Both legs:
Down$133.1438.4¢-$133.14
Up$52.5222.4¢+$181.82
justdanceInvested
$40.19
Value
$127.69
PnL
+$87.5
Record
51%
2685-2533 (5218)
HO
hoodquant<$100Invested
$29.7
Value
$30
PnL
+$0.3
Record
93%
22483-1729 (24212)
AN
Anon455CTR<$100Invested
$9.29
Value
—
PnL
-$9.29
Record
56%
2615-2073 (4688)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x9834990a...d12041
Slug
eth-updown-4h-1793160000