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Consensus Won ✓

Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down

Ethereum Up or Down - November 12, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET

Resolved Down. 46% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.

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RESOLVED

🏆

Won

Consensus Traders

13

Down 46%

Total Value

$1.2K

Combined PnL

-$556.46

Smart Money Signal

Down

6 of 13 top traders (46%)7 hold an outcome priced under 50%8 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

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Outcome Probabilities

Up0%

Down100%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Up7 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares1,308

Combined PnL$-1.1K

Down6 traders

Total Value$1.2K

Total Shares1,169

Combined PnL+$527.82

Up — 54%Down — 46%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
BY ByteBadger92CTR	Upavg 50¢	$500	—	-$500	56% 2343-1812 (4155)
QU QuantumPebble673CTR	Upavg 50¢	$500	—	-$500	—
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609	Downavg 68.3¢	$184.62	$269.32	+$84.71	51% 1663-1626 (3289)
38 38791873984189	Downavg 47.3¢	$215.46	$455.11	+$239.65	48% 2099-2308 (4407)
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518	Downavg 47.4¢	$180.82	$381.71	+$200.89	48% 1106-1197 (2303)
Polkadot-Frog<$100	Downavg 93.2¢	$29.99	$32.14	+$2.15	53% 1297-1168 (2465)
PL ply-pm2<$100	Downavg 70.1¢	$17.28	$19.07	+$1.79	53% 1476-1292 (2768)
PB PBot-6CTR<$100	Upavg 50¢	$15.4	—	-$15.4	50% 406-401 (807)
AS aswfadq1555CTR<$100	Upavg 30¢	$32.4	—	-$32.4	49% 275-284 (559)
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530<$100	Downavg 74¢	$13.38	$12	-$1.38	46% 1190-1388 (2578)
cryingbabydicer87CTR<$100	Upavg 16.4¢	$6.55	—	-$6.55	47% 809-896 (1705)
UN uninformedflowwCTR<$100	Upavg 22¢	$24.13	—	-$24.13	51% 1179-1131 (2310)
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025CTR<$100	Upavg 29¢	$5.8	—	-$5.8	47% 1241-1387 (2628)

ByteBadger92CTR

Invested

$500

Value

—

PnL

-$500

Record

56%

2343-1812 (4155)

QuantumPebble673CTR

Invested

$500

Value

—

PnL

-$500

Record

—

0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609

Invested

$184.62

Value

$269.32

PnL

+$84.71

Record

51%

1663-1626 (3289)

Invested

$215.46

Value

$455.11

PnL

+$239.65

Record

48%

2099-2308 (4407)

0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518

Invested

$180.82

Value

$381.71

PnL

+$200.89

Record

48%

1106-1197 (2303)

Polkadot-Frog<$100

Invested

$29.99

Value

$32.14

PnL

+$2.15

Record

53%

1297-1168 (2465)

Invested

$17.28

Value

$19.07

PnL

+$1.79

Record

53%

1476-1292 (2768)

Invested

$15.4

Value

—

PnL

-$15.4

Record

50%

406-401 (807)

aswfadq1555CTR<$100

Invested

$32.4

Value

—

PnL

-$32.4

Record

49%

275-284 (559)

0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530<$100

Invested

$13.38

Value

$12

PnL

-$1.38

Record

46%

1190-1388 (2578)

cryingbabydicer87CTR<$100

Invested

$6.55

Value

—

PnL

-$6.55

Record

47%

809-896 (1705)

uninformedflowwCTR<$100

Invested

$24.13

Value

—

PnL

-$24.13

Record

51%

1179-1131 (2310)

0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025CTR<$100

Invested

$5.8

Value

—

PnL

-$5.8

Record

47%

1241-1387 (2628)

Smart Money Signal

Down

6 of 13 top traders (46%)7 hold an outcome priced under 50%8 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

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Market Info

Condition ID

0xe2acc959...fb7c1f

Slug

eth-updown-15m-1794485700

Traders in this Market

ByteBadger92

Up — $0

QuantumPebble673

Up — $0

0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609

Down — $269.32

38791873984189

Down — $455.11

0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518

Down — $381.71

Polkadot-Frog

Down — $32.14

ply-pm2

Down — $19.07

PBot-6

Up — $0

aswfadq1555

Up — $0

0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530

Down — $12

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