Consensus Won β
Smart money consensus was Up β and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up

Ethereum Up or Down - November 12, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET
Resolved Up. 42% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.
π
Won
19
Up 42%
$1.9K
-$232.98
Smart Money Signal
8 of 19 top traders (42%)11 hold an outcome priced under 50%12 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
BY ByteBadger92 | Upavg 50Β’ | $500 | $500 | +$0 | 56% 2341-1812 (4153) |
QU QuantumPebble673 | Upavg 50Β’ | $500 | $500 | +$0 | β |
DE devonpollCTR | Downavg 50Β’ | $360 | β | -$359.15 | 51% 254-244 (498) |
UN uninformedfloww | Upavg 37.4Β’ | $160.68 | $251.64 | +$94.57 | 50% 1101-1104 (2205) |
HO hoodquant | Upavg 99Β’ | $188.43 | $190.33 | +$1.9 | 98% 2120-43 (2163) |
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518 | Upavg 48Β’ | $140.72 | $293.37 | +$152.65 | 48% 1079-1166 (2245) |
PL ply-pm2 | Upavg 71.5Β’ | $110.86 | $99.53 | -$11.34 | 53% 1437-1267 (2704) |
13 13897651CTR<$100 | Downavg 37Β’ | $45.8 | β | -$32.7 | 37% 685-1150 (1835) |
AS aswfadq1555CTR<$100 | Downavg 56.5Β’ | $19.27 | β | -$19.27 | 49% 271-280 (551) |
PB PBot-6<$100 | Upavg 48.5Β’ | $19.4 | $40 | +$20.6 | 50% 396-392 (788) |
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530CTR<$100 | Downavg 23Β’ | $9.6 | β | -$5.99 | 46% 1152-1359 (2511) |
![]() Polkadot-FrogCTR<$100 | Downavg 67Β’ | $27.6 | β | -$14.7 | 53% 1264-1138 (2402) |
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025CTR<$100 | Downavg 51Β’ | $9.46 | β | -$9.46 | 47% 1200-1358 (2558) |
![]() cryingbabydicer87CTR<$100 | Downavg 29.5Β’ | $5.73 | β | -$5.73 | 47% 783-880 (1663) |
AA aaa221CTR<$100 | Downavg 78Β’ | $3.47 | β | -$3.47 | 60% 2210-1484 (3694) |
DV dvasdkasodk<$100 | Upavg 26Β’ | $1.3 | $5 | +$3.7 | 47% 1342-1509 (2851) |
SU suntoriCTR<$100 | Downavg 1Β’ | $1.86 | β | -$1.86 | 47% 1493-1672 (3165) |
![]() wowitsamazingCTR<$100 | Downavg 41Β’ | $32.4 | β | -$32.4 | 44% 95-120 (215) |
![]() ohioismCTR<$100 | Downavg 39.5Β’ | $10.35 | β | -$10.35 | 48% 1183-1263 (2446) |
Invested
$500
Value
$500
PnL
+$0
Record
56%
2341-1812 (4153)
Invested
$500
Value
$500
PnL
+$0
Record
β
Invested
$360
Value
β
PnL
-$359.15
Record
51%
254-244 (498)
Invested
$160.68
Value
$251.64
PnL
+$94.57
Record
50%
1101-1104 (2205)
Invested
$188.43
Value
$190.33
PnL
+$1.9
Record
98%
2120-43 (2163)
Invested
$140.72
Value
$293.37
PnL
+$152.65
Record
48%
1079-1166 (2245)
Invested
$110.86
Value
$99.53
PnL
-$11.34
Record
53%
1437-1267 (2704)
Invested
$45.8
Value
β
PnL
-$32.7
Record
37%
685-1150 (1835)
Invested
$19.27
Value
β
PnL
-$19.27
Record
49%
271-280 (551)
Invested
$19.4
Value
$40
PnL
+$20.6
Record
50%
396-392 (788)
Invested
$9.6
Value
β
PnL
-$5.99
Record
46%
1152-1359 (2511)
Polkadot-FrogCTR<$100Invested
$27.6
Value
β
PnL
-$14.7
Record
53%
1264-1138 (2402)
Invested
$9.46
Value
β
PnL
-$9.46
Record
47%
1200-1358 (2558)
cryingbabydicer87CTR<$100Invested
$5.73
Value
β
PnL
-$5.73
Record
47%
783-880 (1663)
Invested
$3.47
Value
β
PnL
-$3.47
Record
60%
2210-1484 (3694)
Invested
$1.3
Value
$5
PnL
+$3.7
Record
47%
1342-1509 (2851)
Invested
$1.86
Value
β
PnL
-$1.86
Record
47%
1493-1672 (3165)
wowitsamazingCTR<$100Invested
$32.4
Value
β
PnL
-$32.4
Record
44%
95-120 (215)
ohioismCTR<$100Invested
$10.35
Value
β
PnL
-$10.35
Record
48%
1183-1263 (2446)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
ByteBadger92
Up β $500
QuantumPebble673
Up β $500
devonpoll
CTRDown β $0
uninformedfloww
Up β $251.64
hoodquant
Up β $190.33
0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518
Up β $293.37
ply-pm2
Up β $99.53
13897651
CTRDown β $0
aswfadq1555
CTRDown β $0
PBot-6
Up β $40