Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down
Ethereum Up or Down - November 12, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET
Resolved Down. 59% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
22
Down 59%
$1.5K
-$988.47
Smart Money Signal
13 of 22 top traders (59%)9 hold an outcome priced under 50%16 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
BY ByteBadger92 | Downavg 51.7¢ | $525.5 | $510 | -$10 | 57% 2288-1755 (4043) |
QU QuantumPebble673CTR | Upavg 50¢ | $500 | — | -$500 | — |
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609CTR | Upavg 24¢ | $381.64 | — | -$381.64 | 51% 1610-1559 (3169) |
DE devonpoll | Downavg 50¢ | $363.35 | $354.92 | -$3.7 | 51% 235-230 (465) |
UN uninformedfloww | Downavg 87.5¢ | $228.42 | $157.99 | -$70.44 | 50% 1050-1060 (2110) |
38 38791873984189 | Downavg 48¢ | $93.6 | $195 | +$101.4 | 48% 1999-2208 (4207) |
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530<$100 | Downavg 81.5¢ | $54.2 | $65 | +$10.8 | 46% 1117-1330 (2447) |
13 13897651CTR<$100 | Upavg 43.2¢ | $66.55 | — | -$63.8 | 37% 667-1136 (1803) |
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025<$100 | Downavg 83.6¢ | $46 | $55 | +$9 | 47% 1159-1332 (2491) |
 G-Penis-Monster<$100 | Downavg 77.8¢ | $28 | $36 | +$8 | 44% 1135-1448 (2583) |
PL ply-pm2<$100 | Downavg 75.5¢ | $57.75 | $35 | -$2.75 | 53% 1405-1239 (2644) |
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518CTR<$100 | Upavg 49¢ | $28.42 | — | -$28.42 | 48% 1046-1143 (2189) |
 Polkadot-Frog<$100 | Downavg 63.6¢ | $12.72 | $13 | +$0.28 | 53% 1239-1097 (2336) |
AS aswfadq1555<$100 | Downavg 36.1¢ | $8.15 | $16.75 | +$8.6 | 49% 265-272 (537) |
 ohioism<$100 | Downavg 93¢ | $9.3 | $10 | +$0.7 | 48% 1146-1235 (2381) |
DV dvasdkasodk<$100 | Downavg 96¢ | $8.82 | $9.19 | +$0.37 | 47% 1308-1484 (2792) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Downavg 36¢ | $16.03 | $7.73 | -$4.46 | 60% 2157-1447 (3604) |
BO bosonaCTR<$100 | Upavg 17¢ | $5.1 | — | -$5.1 | 50% 3943-3950 (7893) |
AL almachCTR<$100 | Upavg 17¢ | $5.1 | — | -$5.1 | 47% 716-816 (1532) |
MO mo-moneyCTR<$100 | Upavg 17¢ | $3.12 | — | -$3.12 | 46% 718-833 (1551) |
0X 0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710CTR<$100 | Upavg 4¢ | $0.37 | — | -$0.37 | 38% 578-951 (1529) |
BE beeemwCTR<$100 | Upavg 74¢ | $48.72 | — | -$48.72 | — 9-4 (13) |
Invested
$525.5
Value
$510
PnL
-$10
Record
57%
2288-1755 (4043)
Invested
$500
Value
—
PnL
-$500
Record
—
Invested
$381.64
Value
—
PnL
-$381.64
Record
51%
1610-1559 (3169)
Invested
$363.35
Value
$354.92
PnL
-$3.7
Record
51%
235-230 (465)
Invested
$228.42
Value
$157.99
PnL
-$70.44
Record
50%
1050-1060 (2110)
Invested
$93.6
Value
$195
PnL
+$101.4
Record
48%
1999-2208 (4207)
Invested
$54.2
Value
$65
PnL
+$10.8
Record
46%
1117-1330 (2447)
Invested
$66.55
Value
—
PnL
-$63.8
Record
37%
667-1136 (1803)
Invested
$46
Value
$55
PnL
+$9
Record
47%
1159-1332 (2491)
G-Penis-Monster<$100Invested
$28
Value
$36
PnL
+$8
Record
44%
1135-1448 (2583)
Invested
$57.75
Value
$35
PnL
-$2.75
Record
53%
1405-1239 (2644)
Invested
$28.42
Value
—
PnL
-$28.42
Record
48%
1046-1143 (2189)
Polkadot-Frog<$100Invested
$12.72
Value
$13
PnL
+$0.28
Record
53%
1239-1097 (2336)
Invested
$8.15
Value
$16.75
PnL
+$8.6
Record
49%
265-272 (537)
ohioism<$100Invested
$9.3
Value
$10
PnL
+$0.7
Record
48%
1146-1235 (2381)
Invested
$8.82
Value
$9.19
PnL
+$0.37
Record
47%
1308-1484 (2792)
Invested
$16.03
Value
$7.73
PnL
-$4.46
Record
60%
2157-1447 (3604)
Invested
$5.1
Value
—
PnL
-$5.1
Record
50%
3943-3950 (7893)
Invested
$5.1
Value
—
PnL
-$5.1
Record
47%
716-816 (1532)
Invested
$3.12
Value
—
PnL
-$3.12
Record
46%
718-833 (1551)
Invested
$0.37
Value
—
PnL
-$0.37
Record
38%
578-951 (1529)
Invested
$48.72
Value
—
PnL
-$48.72
Record
—
9-4 (13)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
ByteBadger92
Down — $510
QuantumPebble673
CTRUp — $0
0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609
CTRUp — $0
devonpoll
Down — $354.92
uninformedfloww
Down — $157.99
38791873984189
Down — $195
0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530
Down — $65
13897651
CTRUp — $0
0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025
Down — $55
G-Penis-Monster
Down — $36