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Consensus Won ✓

Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down

Ethereum Up or Down - November 3, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET

Resolved Down. 64% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.

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RESOLVED

🏆

Won

Consensus Traders

11

Down 60%

Total Value

$201.2

Combined PnL

$2.97

Smart Money Signal

Down

7 of 11 top traders (64%)4 hold an outcome priced under 50%10 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

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Outcome Probabilities

Up0%

Down100%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Down7 traders

Total Value$201.2

Total Shares201

Combined PnL+$18.21

Up4 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares40

Combined PnL-$15.25

Down — 64%Up — 36%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609	Downavg 84.5¢	$93.77	$110.32	+$16.56	67% 101060-49392 (150452)
PL ply-pm2<$100	Downavg 64.4¢	$36.41	$37.32	+$0.91	51% 9245-8860 (18105)
AS aswfadq1555<$100	Downavg 94¢	$20.37	$21	+$0.63	54% 15600-13476 (29076)
DV dvasdkasodk<$100	Downavg 90.5¢	$16.56	$17.06	+$0.5	52% 92600-87074 (179674)
ohioismCTR<$100	Upavg 44.7¢	$10.17	—	-$10.17	63% 41447-24055 (65502)
Polkadot-Frog<$100	Downavg 93¢	$22.35	$10	-$3.15	64% 59684-34217 (93901)
13 13897651<$100	Downavg 49.7¢	$2.73	$5.48	+$2.75	56% 7652-5933 (13585)
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530CTR<$100	Upavg 49.7¢	$2.49	—	-$2.49	56% 59421-46003 (105424)
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025CTR<$100	Upavg 49.7¢	$2.49	—	-$2.49	58% 62007-45382 (107389)
AN antsaslykuCTR<$100	Upavg 1¢	$0.1	—	-$0.1	65% 113653-60501 (174154)
MO mo-money<$100	Downavg 86.9¢	$0.01	$0.01	+$0	55% 51617-42093 (93710)

0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609

Invested

$93.77

Value

$110.32

PnL

+$16.56

Record

67%

101060-49392 (150452)

Invested

$36.41

Value

$37.32

PnL

+$0.91

Record

51%

9245-8860 (18105)

aswfadq1555<$100

Invested

$20.37

Value

$21

PnL

+$0.63

Record

54%

15600-13476 (29076)

dvasdkasodk<$100

Invested

$16.56

Value

$17.06

PnL

+$0.5

Record

52%

92600-87074 (179674)

ohioismCTR<$100

Invested

$10.17

Value

—

PnL

-$10.17

Record

63%

41447-24055 (65502)

Polkadot-Frog<$100

Invested

$22.35

Value

$10

PnL

-$3.15

Record

64%

59684-34217 (93901)

Invested

$2.73

Value

$5.48

PnL

+$2.75

Record

56%

7652-5933 (13585)

0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530CTR<$100

Invested

$2.49

Value

—

PnL

-$2.49

Record

56%

59421-46003 (105424)

0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025CTR<$100

Invested

$2.49

Value

—

PnL

-$2.49

Record

58%

62007-45382 (107389)

antsaslykuCTR<$100

Invested

$0.1

Value

—

PnL

-$0.1

Record

65%

113653-60501 (174154)

Invested

$0.01

Value

$0.01

PnL

+$0

Record

55%

51617-42093 (93710)

Smart Money Signal

Down

7 of 11 top traders (64%)4 hold an outcome priced under 50%10 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

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Market Info

Condition ID

0xe7f63375...940df2

Slug

eth-updown-15m-1793754000

Traders in this Market

0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609

Down — $110.32

ply-pm2

Down — $37.32

aswfadq1555

Down — $21

dvasdkasodk

Down — $17.06

ohioism

Up — $0

Polkadot-Frog

Down — $10

13897651

Down — $5.48

0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530

Up — $0

0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025

Up — $0

antsaslyku

Up — $0

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