Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up
Ethereum Up or Down - November 2, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET
Resolved Up. 73% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
15
Up 73%
2 arb excluded
$702.74
$62.79
Smart Money Signal
11 of 15 top traders (73%)2 arbitrage traders dimmed4 hold an outcome priced under 50%14 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0X 0xe3EeB127d5763a6E4aD597f773F9d259C94d5176-1780742904507 | Upavg 94¢ | $277.3 | $295 | +$17.7 | 48% 23599-25890 (49489) |
TM tmsd-testARB<$100 | Upavg 57¢ | $34.78 | $46.81 | +$12.03 | 54% 14612-12482 (27094) |
| └ Down leg | Downavg 4¢ | $8.1 | — | -$8.1 | |
| └ Up leg | Upavg 57¢ | $26.68 | $46.81 | +$20.13 | |
PL ply-pm2ARB<$100 | Upavg 76.2¢ | $95.68 | $93.03 | -$2.65 | 52% 8783-8232 (17015) |
| └ Up leg | Upavg 76.2¢ | $70.88 | $93.03 | +$22.15 | |
| └ Down leg | Downavg 27.6¢ | $24.8 | — | -$24.8 | |
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518<$100 | Upavg 59¢ | $43.63 | $73.99 | +$30.36 | 58% 38758-27803 (66561) |
13 13897651<$100 | Upavg 65.7¢ | $28.34 | $27.59 | -$0.75 | 59% 7212-5076 (12288) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Upavg 57.6¢ | $35.04 | $60.86 | +$25.82 | 64% 25816-14363 (40179) |
AS aswfadq1555<$100 | Upavg 61.3¢ | $18.11 | $15 | -$3.11 | 54% 15469-13357 (28826) |
 cryingbabydicer87CTR<$100 | Downavg 24.3¢ | $12.44 | — | -$12.44 | 48% 9263-10128 (19391) |
 ohioism<$100 | Upavg 94.2¢ | $23.55 | $25 | +$1.45 | 63% 40915-23546 (64461) |
DV dvasdkasodk<$100 | Upavg 95¢ | $12.38 | $10.21 | -$2.17 | 52% 91785-86162 (177947) |
DE devonpoll<$100 | Upavg 93¢ | $18.9 | $20.32 | +$1.42 | 51% 20487-19571 (40058) |
PB PBot-6<$100 | Upavg 50¢ | $10 | $20 | +$10 | 58% 51465-37530 (88995) |
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530CTR<$100 | Downavg 27.4¢ | $5.53 | — | -$5.53 | 56% 58914-45510 (104424) |
AN antsaslyku<$100 | Upavg 71¢ | $7.01 | $9.87 | +$2.86 | 65% 112884-59718 (172602) |
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025CTR<$100 | Downavg 18¢ | $1.98 | — | -$1.98 | 58% 61386-44825 (106211) |
KA Kathod-Shi-14<$100 | Upavg 69¢ | $3.5 | $5.07 | +$1.57 | 55% 18869-15457 (34326) |
38 38791873984189CTR<$100 | Downavg 48¢ | $2.4 | — | -$2.4 | 47% 13002-14566 (27568) |
Invested
$277.3
Value
$295
PnL
+$17.7
Record
48%
23599-25890 (49489)
Invested
$34.78
Value
$46.81
PnL
+$12.03
Record
54%
14612-12482 (27094)
Both legs:
Invested
$95.68
Value
$93.03
PnL
-$2.65
Record
52%
8783-8232 (17015)
Both legs:
Invested
$43.63
Value
$73.99
PnL
+$30.36
Record
58%
38758-27803 (66561)
Invested
$28.34
Value
$27.59
PnL
-$0.75
Record
59%
7212-5076 (12288)
Invested
$35.04
Value
$60.86
PnL
+$25.82
Record
64%
25816-14363 (40179)
Invested
$18.11
Value
$15
PnL
-$3.11
Record
54%
15469-13357 (28826)
cryingbabydicer87CTR<$100Invested
$12.44
Value
—
PnL
-$12.44
Record
48%
9263-10128 (19391)
ohioism<$100Invested
$23.55
Value
$25
PnL
+$1.45
Record
63%
40915-23546 (64461)
Invested
$12.38
Value
$10.21
PnL
-$2.17
Record
52%
91785-86162 (177947)
Invested
$18.9
Value
$20.32
PnL
+$1.42
Record
51%
20487-19571 (40058)
Invested
$10
Value
$20
PnL
+$10
Record
58%
51465-37530 (88995)
Invested
$5.53
Value
—
PnL
-$5.53
Record
56%
58914-45510 (104424)
Invested
$7.01
Value
$9.87
PnL
+$2.86
Record
65%
112884-59718 (172602)
Invested
$1.98
Value
—
PnL
-$1.98
Record
58%
61386-44825 (106211)
Invested
$3.5
Value
$5.07
PnL
+$1.57
Record
55%
18869-15457 (34326)
Invested
$2.4
Value
—
PnL
-$2.4
Record
47%
13002-14566 (27568)
Chat
Market Info
Traders in this Market
0xe3EeB127d5763a6E4aD597f773F9d259C94d5176-1780742904507
Up — $295
tmsd-test
ARBArbitrage — excluded
ply-pm2
ARBArbitrage — excluded
0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518
Up — $73.99
13897651
Up — $27.59
aaa221
Up — $60.86
aswfadq1555
Up — $15
cryingbabydicer87
CTRDown — $0
ohioism
Up — $25
dvasdkasodk
Up — $10.21