Consensus Won β
Smart money consensus was Down β and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down

Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET
Resolved Down. 63% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
π
Won
8
Down 71%
$176.27
-$36.36
Smart Money Signal
5 of 8 top traders (63%)3 hold an outcome priced under 50%8 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PL ply-pm2CTR<$100 | Upavg 66.3Β’ | $68.67 | β | -$68.67 | 52% 8141-7644 (15785) |
KA Kathod-Shi-14<$100 | Downavg 46.8Β’ | $63.95 | $88.23 | +$24.28 | 55% 18159-14741 (32900) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Downavg 71.4Β’ | $60 | $50.17 | -$4.04 | 64% 24337-13438 (37775) |
![]() UpandDownSyndrome<$100 | Downavg 99Β’ | $14.52 | $14.67 | +$0.15 | 63% 52258-31335 (83593) |
![]() G-Penis-Monster<$100 | Downavg 37Β’ | $6.74 | $18.21 | +$11.47 | 62% 44084-27095 (71179) |
DV dvasdkasodk<$100 | Downavg 89Β’ | $4.45 | $5 | +$0.55 | 52% 90979-85505 (176484) |
AN antsaslykuCTR<$100 | Upavg 1Β’ | $0.1 | β | -$0.1 | 66% 112380-59138 (171518) |
DE devonpollCTR<$100 | Upavg 79.7Β’ | β | β | +$0 | 51% 20284-19402 (39686) |
Invested
$68.67
Value
β
PnL
-$68.67
Record
52%
8141-7644 (15785)
Invested
$63.95
Value
$88.23
PnL
+$24.28
Record
55%
18159-14741 (32900)
Invested
$60
Value
$50.17
PnL
-$4.04
Record
64%
24337-13438 (37775)
UpandDownSyndrome<$100Invested
$14.52
Value
$14.67
PnL
+$0.15
Record
63%
52258-31335 (83593)
G-Penis-Monster<$100Invested
$6.74
Value
$18.21
PnL
+$11.47
Record
62%
44084-27095 (71179)
Invested
$4.45
Value
$5
PnL
+$0.55
Record
52%
90979-85505 (176484)
Invested
$0.1
Value
β
PnL
-$0.1
Record
66%
112380-59138 (171518)
Invested
β
Value
β
PnL
+$0
Record
51%
20284-19402 (39686)
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