Consensus Won β
Smart money consensus was Down β and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down

Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET
Resolved Down. 50% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
π
Won
12
Down 55%
$598.13
-$13.88
Smart Money Signal
6 of 12 top traders (50%)6 hold an outcome priced under 50%10 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
UN uninformedfloww | Downavg 77.8Β’ | $229.29 | $237.63 | +$8.34 | 57% 71395-54409 (125804) |
PL ply-pm2 | Downavg 76.5Β’ | $200.21 | $193.9 | -$6.31 | 52% 8114-7618 (15732) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Downavg 75.2Β’ | $98.67 | $89.99 | +$12.34 | 64% 24274-13401 (37675) |
KA Kathod-Shi-14<$100 | Downavg 71.3Β’ | $57.1 | $50.62 | -$6.48 | 55% 18138-14723 (32861) |
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518<$100 | Downavg 56.7Β’ | $11.35 | $20 | +$8.65 | 58% 38241-27378 (65619) |
TM tmsd-testCTR<$100 | Upavg 40.7Β’ | $8.18 | β | -$8.18 | 54% 14530-12375 (26905) |
HO hoodquant<$100 | Downavg 99Β’ | $5.94 | $6 | +$0.06 | 93% 24047-1801 (25848) |
![]() G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100 | Upavg 22Β’ | $14.65 | β | -$14.65 | 62% 44057-27075 (71132) |
PB PBot-6CTR<$100 | Upavg 52Β’ | $2.65 | β | -$2.65 | 58% 51216-37341 (88557) |
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025CTR<$100 | Upavg 11Β’ | $3 | β | -$3 | 58% 60853-44436 (105289) |
DV dvasdkasodkCTR<$100 | Upavg 11.4Β’ | $2 | β | -$2 | 52% 90943-85477 (176420) |
DE devonpollCTR<$100 | Up | β | β | +$0 | 51% 20282-19401 (39683) |
Invested
$229.29
Value
$237.63
PnL
+$8.34
Record
57%
71395-54409 (125804)
Invested
$200.21
Value
$193.9
PnL
-$6.31
Record
52%
8114-7618 (15732)
Invested
$98.67
Value
$89.99
PnL
+$12.34
Record
64%
24274-13401 (37675)
Invested
$57.1
Value
$50.62
PnL
-$6.48
Record
55%
18138-14723 (32861)
Invested
$11.35
Value
$20
PnL
+$8.65
Record
58%
38241-27378 (65619)
Invested
$8.18
Value
β
PnL
-$8.18
Record
54%
14530-12375 (26905)
Invested
$5.94
Value
$6
PnL
+$0.06
Record
93%
24047-1801 (25848)
G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100Invested
$14.65
Value
β
PnL
-$14.65
Record
62%
44057-27075 (71132)
Invested
$2.65
Value
β
PnL
-$2.65
Record
58%
51216-37341 (88557)
Invested
$3
Value
β
PnL
-$3
Record
58%
60853-44436 (105289)
Invested
$2
Value
β
PnL
-$2
Record
52%
90943-85477 (176420)
Invested
β
Value
β
PnL
+$0
Record
51%
20282-19401 (39683)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
uninformedfloww
Down β $237.63
ply-pm2
Down β $193.9
aaa221
Down β $89.99
Kathod-Shi-14
Down β $50.62
0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518
Down β $20
tmsd-test
CTRUp β $0
hoodquant
Down β $6

G-Penis-Monster
CTRUp β $0
PBot-6
CTRUp β $0
0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025
CTRUp β $0