Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down
Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET
Resolved Down. 100% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
8
Down 100%
1 arb excluded
$162.87
$21.09
Smart Money Signal
8 of 8 top traders (100%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed8 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PL ply-pm2ARB<$100 | Downavg 68.8¢ | $40.7 | $41.87 | +$1.17 | 52% 8114-7618 (15732) |
| └ Up leg | Upavg 28.9¢ | $11.91 | — | -$11.91 | |
| └ Down leg | Downavg 68.8¢ | $28.79 | $41.87 | +$13.08 | |
 UpandDownSyndrome<$100 | Downavg 97.2¢ | $41.22 | $42.43 | +$1.21 | 63% 52248-31272 (83520) |
 ohioism<$100 | Downavg 81.4¢ | $20.35 | $25 | +$4.65 | 64% 40419-23136 (63555) |
 G-Penis-Monster<$100 | Downavg 57.1¢ | $12.2 | $21.35 | +$9.15 | 62% 44057-27075 (71132) |
HO hoodquant<$100 | Downavg 99¢ | $8.34 | $8.42 | +$0.08 | 93% 24047-1801 (25848) |
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025<$100 | Downavg 76¢ | $5.7 | $7.5 | +$1.8 | 58% 60853-44436 (105289) |
DV dvasdkasodk<$100 | Downavg 88¢ | $5.4 | $6.14 | +$0.74 | 52% 90943-85477 (176420) |
PB PBot-6<$100 | Downavg 50¢ | $2.55 | $5.1 | +$2.55 | 58% 51216-37341 (88557) |
KA Kathod-Shi-14<$100 | Downavg 82¢ | $4.15 | $5.06 | +$0.91 | 55% 18138-14723 (32861) |
Invested
$40.7
Value
$41.87
PnL
+$1.17
Record
52%
8114-7618 (15732)
Both legs:
UpandDownSyndrome<$100Invested
$41.22
Value
$42.43
PnL
+$1.21
Record
63%
52248-31272 (83520)
ohioism<$100Invested
$20.35
Value
$25
PnL
+$4.65
Record
64%
40419-23136 (63555)
G-Penis-Monster<$100Invested
$12.2
Value
$21.35
PnL
+$9.15
Record
62%
44057-27075 (71132)
Invested
$8.34
Value
$8.42
PnL
+$0.08
Record
93%
24047-1801 (25848)
Invested
$5.7
Value
$7.5
PnL
+$1.8
Record
58%
60853-44436 (105289)
Invested
$5.4
Value
$6.14
PnL
+$0.74
Record
52%
90943-85477 (176420)
Invested
$2.55
Value
$5.1
PnL
+$2.55
Record
58%
51216-37341 (88557)
Invested
$4.15
Value
$5.06
PnL
+$0.91
Record
55%
18138-14723 (32861)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
ply-pm2
ARBArbitrage — excluded
UpandDownSyndrome
Down — $42.43
ohioism
Down — $25
G-Penis-Monster
Down — $21.35
hoodquant
Down — $8.42
0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025
Down — $7.5
dvasdkasodk
Down — $6.14
PBot-6
Down — $5.1
Kathod-Shi-14
Down — $5.06