Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down
Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET
Resolved Down. 56% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
9
Down 57%
$85.99
-$5.4
Smart Money Signal
5 of 9 top traders (56%)4 hold an outcome priced under 50%9 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
KA Kathod-Shi-14<$100 | Downavg 70.8¢ | $24.6 | $31.71 | +$7.11 | 55% 18138-14723 (32861) |
PL ply-pm2<$100 | Downavg 83.8¢ | $27.49 | $29.82 | +$2.33 | 52% 8114-7618 (15732) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Downavg 96¢ | $18.63 | $17.32 | -$0.51 | 64% 24274-13401 (37675) |
PB PBot-6<$100 | Downavg 50¢ | $3.57 | $7.14 | +$3.57 | 58% 51216-37341 (88557) |
 UpandDownSyndromeCTR<$100 | Upavg 8.7¢ | $7.03 | — | -$7.03 | 63% 52248-31272 (83520) |
 ohioismCTR<$100 | Upavg 49¢ | $9.8 | — | -$9.8 | 64% 40419-23136 (63555) |
DV dvasdkasodkCTR<$100 | Upavg 18¢ | $1.08 | — | -$1.08 | 52% 90943-85477 (176420) |
UN uninformedfloww<$100 | Downavg 92¢ | — | — | +$0 | 57% 71395-54409 (125804) |
DE devonpollCTR<$100 | Up | — | — | +$0 | 51% 20282-19401 (39683) |
Invested
$24.6
Value
$31.71
PnL
+$7.11
Record
55%
18138-14723 (32861)
Invested
$27.49
Value
$29.82
PnL
+$2.33
Record
52%
8114-7618 (15732)
Invested
$18.63
Value
$17.32
PnL
-$0.51
Record
64%
24274-13401 (37675)
Invested
$3.57
Value
$7.14
PnL
+$3.57
Record
58%
51216-37341 (88557)
UpandDownSyndromeCTR<$100Invested
$7.03
Value
—
PnL
-$7.03
Record
63%
52248-31272 (83520)
ohioismCTR<$100Invested
$9.8
Value
—
PnL
-$9.8
Record
64%
40419-23136 (63555)
Invested
$1.08
Value
—
PnL
-$1.08
Record
52%
90943-85477 (176420)
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
57%
71395-54409 (125804)
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
51%
20282-19401 (39683)
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