Consensus Won β
Smart money consensus was Down β and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down

Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET
Resolved Down. 53% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
π
Won
15
Down 57%
$924.45
$50.85
Smart Money Signal
8 of 15 top traders (53%)7 hold an outcome priced under 50%11 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PL ply-pm2 | Downavg 51.3Β’ | $359.83 | $375.5 | +$15.66 | 52% 8055-7577 (15632) |
![]() wowitsamazing | Downavg 59.5Β’ | $199 | $281.04 | +$82.04 | 57% 12724-9438 (22162) |
TM tmsd-test | Downavg 49.4Β’ | $71.19 | $137.43 | +$66.24 | 54% 14522-12366 (26888) |
![]() UpandDownSyndrome<$100 | Downavg 15.8Β’ | $16.81 | $66.94 | +$50.13 | 63% 52223-31187 (83410) |
![]() G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100 | Upavg 68.4Β’ | $46.8 | β | -$46.8 | 62% 44015-27038 (71053) |
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025<$100 | Downavg 81.2Β’ | $25.2 | $31.03 | +$5.83 | 58% 60824-44408 (105232) |
![]() ohioismCTR<$100 | Upavg 33.7Β’ | $25.42 | β | -$25.42 | 64% 40387-23103 (63490) |
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530<$100 | Downavg 88Β’ | $24.2 | $20 | -$4.2 | 56% 58383-45054 (103437) |
KA Kathod-Shi-14<$100 | Downavg 50.4Β’ | $5.6 | $11.1 | +$5.5 | 55% 18106-14696 (32802) |
DV dvasdkasodkCTR<$100 | Upavg 26.5Β’ | $6.85 | β | -$6.85 | 52% 90876-85429 (176305) |
AA aaa221CTR | Upavg 64.4Β’ | $131.31 | β | -$75.54 | 64% 24172-13343 (37515) |
![]() BoneOhio<$100 | Downavg 99Β’ | $1.41 | $1.42 | +$0.01 | 74% 102835-36488 (139323) |
AS aswfadq1555CTR<$100 | Upavg 34.5Β’ | $7.27 | β | -$7.27 | 54% 15414-13298 (28712) |
UN uninformedflowwCTR<$100 | Upavg 53Β’ | $8.48 | β | -$8.48 | 57% 71318-54356 (125674) |
DE devonpollCTR<$100 | Upavg 37.6Β’ | β | β | +$0 | 51% 20264-19394 (39658) |
Invested
$359.83
Value
$375.5
PnL
+$15.66
Record
52%
8055-7577 (15632)
wowitsamazingInvested
$199
Value
$281.04
PnL
+$82.04
Record
57%
12724-9438 (22162)
Invested
$71.19
Value
$137.43
PnL
+$66.24
Record
54%
14522-12366 (26888)
UpandDownSyndrome<$100Invested
$16.81
Value
$66.94
PnL
+$50.13
Record
63%
52223-31187 (83410)
G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100Invested
$46.8
Value
β
PnL
-$46.8
Record
62%
44015-27038 (71053)
Invested
$25.2
Value
$31.03
PnL
+$5.83
Record
58%
60824-44408 (105232)
ohioismCTR<$100Invested
$25.42
Value
β
PnL
-$25.42
Record
64%
40387-23103 (63490)
Invested
$24.2
Value
$20
PnL
-$4.2
Record
56%
58383-45054 (103437)
Invested
$5.6
Value
$11.1
PnL
+$5.5
Record
55%
18106-14696 (32802)
Invested
$6.85
Value
β
PnL
-$6.85
Record
52%
90876-85429 (176305)
Invested
$131.31
Value
β
PnL
-$75.54
Record
64%
24172-13343 (37515)
BoneOhio<$100Invested
$1.41
Value
$1.42
PnL
+$0.01
Record
74%
102835-36488 (139323)
Invested
$7.27
Value
β
PnL
-$7.27
Record
54%
15414-13298 (28712)
Invested
$8.48
Value
β
PnL
-$8.48
Record
57%
71318-54356 (125674)
Invested
β
Value
β
PnL
+$0
Record
51%
20264-19394 (39658)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
ply-pm2
Down β $375.5

wowitsamazing
Down β $281.04
tmsd-test
Down β $137.43

UpandDownSyndrome
Down β $66.94

G-Penis-Monster
CTRUp β $0
0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025
Down β $31.03

ohioism
CTRUp β $0
0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530
Down β $20
Kathod-Shi-14
Down β $11.1
dvasdkasodk
CTRUp β $0